Premiership·Regular Season - 9·
Premiership·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
26%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.121.522.64safe0.15–2.080.67–2.380.81–4.46safer0.00–2.340.44–2.600.33–4.94
Shots on target
37%
14%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.154.618.76safe2.28–6.012.87–6.355.15–12.36safer1.79–6.502.40–6.824.20–13.32
Total shots
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3313.5626.89safe9.41–17.2610.00–17.1219.41–34.38safer8.32–18.359.04–18.0817.35–36.43
Shots in box
38%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction8.258.9817.23safe5.30–11.196.30–11.6611.60–22.85safer4.48–12.025.56–12.4010.04–24.42
Blocked shots
47%
15%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.983.707.67safe2.09–5.862.05–5.354.14–11.21safer1.55–6.401.55–5.843.10–12.25
Corners
40%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction5.085.3610.44safe2.87–7.293.36–7.366.23–14.65safer2.29–7.872.82–7.895.12–15.76
Possession %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction50.3950.12safe43.60–57.1843.34–56.91safer41.93–58.8541.67–58.58
Passes
56%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction452435887safe385–519368–501753–1020safer367–537351–519717–1056
Pass accuracy %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction66.8571.52safe62.82–70.8867.20–75.85safer61.52–72.1765.89–77.16
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7112.9024.61safe8.87–14.559.95–15.8418.83–30.39safer8.12–15.309.20–16.5917.32–31.90
Offsides
33%
24%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.663.09safe0.27–2.590.56–2.750.83–5.34safer0.00–2.890.28–3.040.24–5.93
Yellow cards
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.913.67safe0.72–2.820.78–3.031.49–5.85safer0.45–3.080.49–3.330.94–6.41
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
44%
17%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.072.925.99safe1.64–4.511.36–4.473.00–8.98safer1.25–4.900.94–4.902.19–9.80
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.12 0.15–2.08 0.00–2.34 | 1.52 0.67–2.38 0.44–2.60 | 2.64 0.81–4.46 0.33–4.94 | 28% 26% 47% |
| Shots on target | 4.15 2.28–6.01 1.79–6.50 | 4.61 2.87–6.35 2.40–6.82 | 8.76 5.15–12.36 4.20–13.32 | 37% 14% 49% |
| Total shots | 13.33 9.41–17.26 8.32–18.35 | 13.56 10.00–17.12 9.04–18.08 | 26.89 19.41–34.38 17.35–36.43 | 44% 48% |
| Shots in box | 8.25 5.30–11.19 4.48–12.02 | 8.98 6.30–11.66 5.56–12.40 | 17.23 11.60–22.85 10.04–24.42 | 38% 52% |
| Blocked shots | 3.98 2.09–5.86 1.55–6.40 | 3.70 2.05–5.35 1.55–5.84 | 7.67 4.14–11.21 3.10–12.25 | 47% 15% 39% |
| Corners | 5.08 2.87–7.29 2.29–7.87 | 5.36 3.36–7.36 2.82–7.89 | 10.44 6.23–14.65 5.12–15.76 | 40% 47% |
| Possession % | 50.39 43.60–57.18 41.93–58.85 | 50.12 43.34–56.91 41.67–58.58 | — | 48% 47% |
| Passes | 452 385–519 367–537 | 435 368–501 351–519 | 887 753–1020 717–1056 | 56% 44% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.85 62.82–70.88 61.52–72.17 | 71.52 67.20–75.85 65.89–77.16 | — | 25% 71% |
| Fouls | 11.71 8.87–14.55 8.12–15.30 | 12.90 9.95–15.84 9.20–16.59 | 24.61 18.83–30.39 17.32–31.90 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.43 0.27–2.59 0.00–2.89 | 1.66 0.56–2.75 0.28–3.04 | 3.09 0.83–5.34 0.24–5.93 | 33% 24% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.77 0.72–2.82 0.45–3.08 | 1.91 0.78–3.03 0.49–3.33 | 3.67 1.49–5.85 0.94–6.41 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.07 1.64–4.51 1.25–4.90 | 2.92 1.36–4.47 0.94–4.90 | 5.99 3.00–8.98 2.19–9.80 | 44% 17% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.