Premiership·Regular Season - 15·
Premiership·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
23%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.770.912.67safe0.80–2.730.05–1.760.85–4.49safer0.55–2.990.00–1.990.37–4.97
Shots on target
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.583.589.16safe3.71–7.441.84–5.325.55–12.76safer3.22–7.931.37–5.794.60–13.72
Total shots
77%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction15.4211.0826.50safe11.49–19.347.52–14.6419.01–33.99safer10.40–20.436.56–15.6016.96–36.04
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction11.166.7017.86safe8.21–14.104.02–9.3812.23–23.48safer7.38–14.933.28–10.1210.67–25.05
Blocked shots
59%
14%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.393.247.63safe2.50–6.271.59–4.904.10–11.17safer1.96–6.811.10–5.393.06–12.20
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.984.1410.13safe3.77–8.202.14–6.145.92–14.34safer3.20–8.771.61–6.684.81–15.45
Possession %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction51.6548.13safe44.86–58.4441.35–54.92safer43.19–60.1139.68–56.59
Passes
67%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction482427909safe415–549361–494775–1043safer397–567343–511740–1078
Pass accuracy %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction71.3670.06safe67.33–75.3965.74–74.39safer66.04–76.6864.43–75.70
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7612.1323.89safe8.92–14.609.18–15.0718.11–29.67safer8.17–15.368.44–15.8216.60–31.18
Offsides
48%
24%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.252.97safe0.56–2.880.16–2.340.72–5.22safer0.26–3.180.00–2.630.13–5.81
Yellow cards
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.943.51safe0.53–2.620.81–3.061.33–5.69safer0.26–2.890.52–3.360.78–6.25
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
25%
15%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.593.766.36safe1.16–4.032.21–5.323.36–9.35safer0.77–4.421.78–5.742.55–10.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.77 0.80–2.73 0.55–2.99 | 0.91 0.05–1.76 0.00–1.99 | 2.67 0.85–4.49 0.37–4.97 | 58% 23% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.58 3.71–7.44 3.22–7.93 | 3.58 1.84–5.32 1.37–5.79 | 9.16 5.55–12.76 4.60–13.72 | 69% 20% |
| Total shots | 15.42 11.49–19.34 10.40–20.43 | 11.08 7.52–14.64 6.56–15.60 | 26.50 19.01–33.99 16.96–36.04 | 77% 17% |
| Shots in box | 11.16 8.21–14.10 7.38–14.93 | 6.70 4.02–9.38 3.28–10.12 | 17.86 12.23–23.48 10.67–25.05 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 4.39 2.50–6.27 1.96–6.81 | 3.24 1.59–4.90 1.10–5.39 | 7.63 4.10–11.17 3.06–12.20 | 59% 14% 27% |
| Corners | 5.98 3.77–8.20 3.20–8.77 | 4.14 2.14–6.14 1.61–6.68 | 10.13 5.92–14.34 4.81–15.45 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 51.65 44.86–58.44 43.19–60.11 | 48.13 41.35–54.92 39.68–56.59 | — | 56% 39% |
| Passes | 482 415–549 397–567 | 427 361–494 343–511 | 909 775–1043 740–1078 | 67% 32% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.36 67.33–75.39 66.04–76.68 | 70.06 65.74–74.39 64.43–75.70 | — | 54% 41% |
| Fouls | 11.76 8.92–14.60 8.17–15.36 | 12.13 9.18–15.07 8.44–15.82 | 23.89 18.11–29.67 16.60–31.18 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.56–2.88 0.26–3.18 | 1.25 0.16–2.34 0.00–2.63 | 2.97 0.72–5.22 0.13–5.81 | 48% 24% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.58 0.53–2.62 0.26–2.89 | 1.94 0.81–3.06 0.52–3.36 | 3.51 1.33–5.69 0.78–6.25 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.59 1.16–4.03 0.77–4.42 | 3.76 2.21–5.32 1.78–5.74 | 6.36 3.36–9.35 2.55–10.16 | 25% 15% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+