Premiership·Regular Season - 10·
Premiership·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
24%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.740.932.68safe0.77–2.710.08–1.790.86–4.50safer0.52–2.960.00–2.020.38–4.98
Shots on target
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.423.398.81safe3.55–7.281.65–5.135.20–12.41safer3.06–7.771.18–5.604.25–13.37
Total shots
79%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2810.7626.04safe11.36–19.207.20–14.3218.55–33.53safer10.26–20.306.24–15.2816.50–35.58
Shots in box
78%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction10.096.5016.59safe7.14–13.033.82–9.1810.97–22.21safer6.31–13.863.08–9.929.40–23.78
Blocked shots
59%
14%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.393.287.67safe2.51–6.281.63–4.934.14–11.21safer1.97–6.821.13–5.423.10–12.24
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.974.3110.29safe3.76–8.192.31–6.316.07–14.50safer3.18–8.761.78–6.854.97–15.61
Possession %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction55.6544.78safe48.86–62.4437.99–51.56safer47.19–64.1136.32–53.23
Passes
86%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction499371871safe432–567305–438737–1004safer414–585287–455701–1040
Pass accuracy %
66%
29%
homeawayprediction72.4968.79safe68.46–76.5264.46–73.11safer67.17–77.8163.15–74.42
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0312.6623.68safe8.19–13.869.71–15.6017.90–29.47safer7.43–14.628.96–16.3516.40–30.97
Offsides
44%
24%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.372.99safe0.46–2.780.27–2.460.74–5.24safer0.16–3.080.00–2.750.15–5.83
Yellow cards
33%
20%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.922.324.24safe0.87–2.971.19–3.442.06–6.42safer0.61–3.240.90–3.741.50–6.97
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.120.20safe0.00–0.240.00–0.310.00–0.55safer0.00–0.390.00–0.440.00–0.83
GK saves
24%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.343.535.87safe0.91–3.781.97–5.092.88–8.86safer0.52–4.171.55–5.512.07–9.68
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.74 0.77–2.71 0.52–2.96 | 0.93 0.08–1.79 0.00–2.02 | 2.68 0.86–4.50 0.38–4.98 | 56% 24% 20% |
| Shots on target | 5.42 3.55–7.28 3.06–7.77 | 3.39 1.65–5.13 1.18–5.60 | 8.81 5.20–12.41 4.25–13.37 | 70% 19% |
| Total shots | 15.28 11.36–19.20 10.26–20.30 | 10.76 7.20–14.32 6.24–15.28 | 26.04 18.55–33.53 16.50–35.58 | 79% 16% |
| Shots in box | 10.09 7.14–13.03 6.31–13.86 | 6.50 3.82–9.18 3.08–9.92 | 16.59 10.97–22.21 9.40–23.78 | 78% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 4.39 2.51–6.28 1.97–6.82 | 3.28 1.63–4.93 1.13–5.42 | 7.67 4.14–11.21 3.10–12.24 | 59% 14% 28% |
| Corners | 5.97 3.76–8.19 3.18–8.76 | 4.31 2.31–6.31 1.78–6.85 | 10.29 6.07–14.50 4.97–15.61 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 55.65 48.86–62.44 47.19–64.11 | 44.78 37.99–51.56 36.32–53.23 | — | 72% 24% |
| Passes | 499 432–567 414–585 | 371 305–438 287–455 | 871 737–1004 701–1040 | 86% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.49 68.46–76.52 67.17–77.81 | 68.79 64.46–73.11 63.15–74.42 | — | 66% 29% |
| Fouls | 11.03 8.19–13.86 7.43–14.62 | 12.66 9.71–15.60 8.96–16.35 | 23.68 17.90–29.47 16.40–30.97 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.62 0.46–2.78 0.16–3.08 | 1.37 0.27–2.46 0.00–2.75 | 2.99 0.74–5.24 0.15–5.83 | 44% 24% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.92 0.87–2.97 0.61–3.24 | 2.32 1.19–3.44 0.90–3.74 | 4.24 2.06–6.42 1.50–6.97 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.34 0.91–3.78 0.52–4.17 | 3.53 1.97–5.09 1.55–5.51 | 5.87 2.88–8.86 2.07–9.68 | 24% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.