Premiership·Regular Season - 17·
Premiership·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
27%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.332.55safe0.25–2.190.47–2.180.73–4.37safer0.00–2.440.24–2.410.25–4.85
Shots on target
35%
14%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.974.628.59safe2.11–5.842.88–6.364.99–12.20safer1.62–6.332.41–6.834.03–13.15
Total shots
35%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2413.7726.01safe8.32–16.1710.20–17.3318.52–33.50safer7.23–17.269.25–18.2916.47–35.55
Shots in box
39%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction7.938.5916.52safe4.99–10.875.91–11.2710.90–22.14safer4.16–11.705.17–12.019.33–23.71
Blocked shots
49%
15%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.933.497.42safe2.05–5.821.83–5.143.89–10.96safer1.51–6.361.34–5.632.85–11.99
Corners
47%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction5.345.0610.40safe3.13–7.553.06–7.066.18–14.61safer2.55–8.132.52–7.595.08–15.72
Possession %
29%
67%
homeawayprediction45.9354.37safe39.14–52.7247.59–61.16safer37.47–54.3945.92–62.83
Passes
26%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction402476878safe334–469410–543744–1012safer316–487392–560709–1047
Pass accuracy %
19%
77%
homeawayprediction66.1472.30safe62.11–70.1767.98–76.63safer60.82–71.4666.67–77.94
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0911.8623.95safe9.26–14.938.92–14.8118.17–29.74safer8.50–15.698.17–15.5516.67–31.24
Offsides
41%
24%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.412.97safe0.40–2.720.32–2.500.72–5.22safer0.10–3.020.03–2.790.13–5.81
Yellow cards
39%
21%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.002.034.03safe0.95–3.040.90–3.161.85–6.20safer0.68–3.310.61–3.451.29–6.76
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.110.21safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.430.00–0.84
GK saves
45%
17%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.012.765.77safe1.57–4.441.20–4.322.77–8.76safer1.18–4.830.78–4.741.96–9.57
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.22 0.25–2.19 0.00–2.44 | 1.33 0.47–2.18 0.24–2.41 | 2.55 0.73–4.37 0.25–4.85 | 34% 27% 39% |
| Shots on target | 3.97 2.11–5.84 1.62–6.33 | 4.62 2.88–6.36 2.41–6.83 | 8.59 4.99–12.20 4.03–13.15 | 35% 14% 52% |
| Total shots | 12.24 8.32–16.17 7.23–17.26 | 13.77 10.20–17.33 9.25–18.29 | 26.01 18.52–33.50 16.47–35.55 | 35% 58% |
| Shots in box | 7.93 4.99–10.87 4.16–11.70 | 8.59 5.91–11.27 5.17–12.01 | 16.52 10.90–22.14 9.33–23.71 | 39% 51% |
| Blocked shots | 3.93 2.05–5.82 1.51–6.36 | 3.49 1.83–5.14 1.34–5.63 | 7.42 3.89–10.96 2.85–11.99 | 49% 15% 36% |
| Corners | 5.34 3.13–7.55 2.55–8.13 | 5.06 3.06–7.06 2.52–7.59 | 10.40 6.18–14.61 5.08–15.72 | 47% 40% |
| Possession % | 45.93 39.14–52.72 37.47–54.39 | 54.37 47.59–61.16 45.92–62.83 | — | 29% 67% |
| Passes | 402 334–469 316–487 | 476 410–543 392–560 | 878 744–1012 709–1047 | 26% 73% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.14 62.11–70.17 60.82–71.46 | 72.30 67.98–76.63 66.67–77.94 | — | 19% 77% |
| Fouls | 12.09 9.26–14.93 8.50–15.69 | 11.86 8.92–14.81 8.17–15.55 | 23.95 18.17–29.74 16.67–31.24 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.72 0.10–3.02 | 1.41 0.32–2.50 0.03–2.79 | 2.97 0.72–5.22 0.13–5.81 | 41% 24% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 2.00 0.95–3.04 0.68–3.31 | 2.03 0.90–3.16 0.61–3.45 | 4.03 1.85–6.20 1.29–6.76 | 39% 21% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.01 1.57–4.44 1.18–4.83 | 2.76 1.20–4.32 0.78–4.74 | 5.77 2.77–8.76 1.96–9.57 | 45% 17% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.