Premiership·Regular Season - 10·
Premiership·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
26%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.082.55safe0.51–2.440.22–1.930.73–4.38safer0.26–2.700.00–2.160.25–4.85
Shots on target
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.943.498.42safe3.07–6.801.74–5.234.82–12.03safer2.58–7.291.28–5.693.86–12.98
Total shots
78%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8210.5225.34safe10.89–18.746.96–14.0817.85–32.83safer9.80–19.836.00–15.0415.80–34.88
Shots in box
70%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction9.506.8716.37safe6.55–12.444.19–9.5510.74–21.99safer5.72–13.273.45–10.299.18–23.56
Blocked shots
56%
15%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.933.026.94safe2.04–5.811.36–4.673.41–10.48safer1.50–6.350.87–5.162.37–11.51
Corners
66%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.084.2810.36safe3.86–8.292.28–6.286.14–14.57safer3.29–8.871.74–6.815.04–15.68
Possession %
66%
30%
homeawayprediction54.2246.39safe47.43–61.0139.60–53.17safer45.76–62.6837.93–54.84
Passes
78%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction468377845safe401–536310–443712–979safer383–554293–461676–1015
Pass accuracy %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction66.1365.67safe62.10–70.1661.35–69.99safer60.81–71.4560.04–71.30
Fouls
32%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7614.6927.45safe9.92–15.5911.75–17.6421.67–33.23safer9.16–16.3511.00–18.3920.16–34.74
Offsides
42%
23%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.623.39safe0.60–2.920.53–2.721.13–5.64safer0.30–3.220.24–3.000.54–6.23
Yellow cards
30%
19%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.902.444.34safe0.85–2.951.31–3.572.17–6.52safer0.59–3.221.02–3.861.61–7.08
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.120.20safe0.00–0.240.00–0.310.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.440.00–0.83
GK saves
26%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.423.475.89safe0.98–3.851.92–5.032.90–8.88safer0.59–4.241.49–5.452.08–9.69
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.48 0.51–2.44 0.26–2.70 | 1.08 0.22–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 2.55 0.73–4.38 0.25–4.85 | 46% 26% 28% |
| Shots on target | 4.94 3.07–6.80 2.58–7.29 | 3.49 1.74–5.23 1.28–5.69 | 8.42 4.82–12.03 3.86–12.98 | 63% 25% |
| Total shots | 14.82 10.89–18.74 9.80–19.83 | 10.52 6.96–14.08 6.00–15.04 | 25.34 17.85–32.83 15.80–34.88 | 78% 17% |
| Shots in box | 9.50 6.55–12.44 5.72–13.27 | 6.87 4.19–9.55 3.45–10.29 | 16.37 10.74–21.99 9.18–23.56 | 70% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 3.93 2.04–5.81 1.50–6.35 | 3.02 1.36–4.67 0.87–5.16 | 6.94 3.41–10.48 2.37–11.51 | 56% 15% 29% |
| Corners | 6.08 3.86–8.29 3.29–8.87 | 4.28 2.28–6.28 1.74–6.81 | 10.36 6.14–14.57 5.04–15.68 | 66% 24% |
| Possession % | 54.22 47.43–61.01 45.76–62.68 | 46.39 39.60–53.17 37.93–54.84 | — | 66% 30% |
| Passes | 468 401–536 383–554 | 377 310–443 293–461 | 845 712–979 676–1015 | 78% 22% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.13 62.10–70.16 60.81–71.45 | 65.67 61.35–69.99 60.04–71.30 | — | 50% 45% |
| Fouls | 12.76 9.92–15.59 9.16–16.35 | 14.69 11.75–17.64 11.00–18.39 | 27.45 21.67–33.23 20.16–34.74 | 32% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 1.62 0.53–2.72 0.24–3.00 | 3.39 1.13–5.64 0.54–6.23 | 42% 23% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.90 0.85–2.95 0.59–3.22 | 2.44 1.31–3.57 1.02–3.86 | 4.34 2.17–6.52 1.61–7.08 | 30% 19% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.42 0.98–3.85 0.59–4.24 | 3.47 1.92–5.03 1.49–5.45 | 5.89 2.90–8.88 2.08–9.69 | 26% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+