Premiership·Regular Season - 21·
Premiership·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
28%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.192.41safe0.25–2.190.34–2.040.59–4.23safer0.00–2.440.11–2.270.11–4.71
Shots on target
47%
14%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.263.998.26safe2.40–6.132.25–5.744.65–11.86safer1.91–6.621.79–6.203.70–12.82
Total shots
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1612.5125.67safe9.23–17.088.95–16.0718.18–33.16safer8.14–18.187.99–17.0316.13–35.21
Shots in box
46%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction8.208.1516.36safe5.26–11.155.47–10.8410.74–21.98safer4.43–11.984.74–11.579.17–23.55
Blocked shots
37%
15%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.423.777.19safe1.54–5.302.11–5.423.65–10.73safer1.00–5.851.62–5.912.62–11.76
Corners
48%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.074.749.81safe2.86–7.292.74–6.745.59–14.02safer2.29–7.862.20–7.274.49–15.13
Possession %
34%
62%
homeawayprediction47.4453.53safe40.65–54.2346.75–60.32safer38.98–55.9045.08–61.99
Passes
33%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction396447843safe329–463381–514710–977safer311–481363–531674–1013
Pass accuracy %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction64.4070.13safe60.37–68.4365.81–74.45safer59.08–69.7264.50–75.76
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6513.3927.04safe10.81–16.4910.44–16.3321.26–32.82safer10.06–17.249.69–17.0819.75–34.32
Offsides
37%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.763.41safe0.49–2.810.66–2.851.15–5.66safer0.19–3.110.38–3.140.57–6.25
Yellow cards
39%
20%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.182.254.43safe1.13–3.231.12–3.382.25–6.61safer0.87–3.500.83–3.671.70–7.17
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.130.26safe0.00–0.290.00–0.310.00–0.60safer0.00–0.440.00–0.450.00–0.89
GK saves
38%
17%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.813.045.86safe1.38–4.251.49–4.602.87–8.85safer0.99–4.641.06–5.022.05–9.66
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.22 0.25–2.19 0.00–2.44 | 1.19 0.34–2.04 0.11–2.27 | 2.41 0.59–4.23 0.11–4.71 | 37% 28% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.26 2.40–6.13 1.91–6.62 | 3.99 2.25–5.74 1.79–6.20 | 8.26 4.65–11.86 3.70–12.82 | 47% 14% 39% |
| Total shots | 13.16 9.23–17.08 8.14–18.18 | 12.51 8.95–16.07 7.99–17.03 | 25.67 18.18–33.16 16.13–35.21 | 51% 41% |
| Shots in box | 8.20 5.26–11.15 4.43–11.98 | 8.15 5.47–10.84 4.74–11.57 | 16.36 10.74–21.98 9.17–23.55 | 46% 45% |
| Blocked shots | 3.42 1.54–5.30 1.00–5.85 | 3.77 2.11–5.42 1.62–5.91 | 7.19 3.65–10.73 2.62–11.76 | 37% 15% 48% |
| Corners | 5.07 2.86–7.29 2.29–7.86 | 4.74 2.74–6.74 2.20–7.27 | 9.81 5.59–14.02 4.49–15.13 | 48% 39% |
| Possession % | 47.44 40.65–54.23 38.98–55.90 | 53.53 46.75–60.32 45.08–61.99 | — | 34% 62% |
| Passes | 396 329–463 311–481 | 447 381–514 363–531 | 843 710–977 674–1013 | 33% 66% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.40 60.37–68.43 59.08–69.72 | 70.13 65.81–74.45 64.50–75.76 | — | 21% 75% |
| Fouls | 13.65 10.81–16.49 10.06–17.24 | 13.39 10.44–16.33 9.69–17.08 | 27.04 21.26–32.82 19.75–34.32 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.65 0.49–2.81 0.19–3.11 | 1.76 0.66–2.85 0.38–3.14 | 3.41 1.15–5.66 0.57–6.25 | 37% 23% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 2.18 1.13–3.23 0.87–3.50 | 2.25 1.12–3.38 0.83–3.67 | 4.43 2.25–6.61 1.70–7.17 | 39% 20% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.26 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.89 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.81 1.38–4.25 0.99–4.64 | 3.04 1.49–4.60 1.06–5.02 | 5.86 2.87–8.85 2.05–9.66 | 38% 17% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.