Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
24%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.151.702.84safe0.18–2.120.84–2.551.02–4.67safer0.00–2.370.61–2.780.54–5.15
Shots on target
26%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction3.915.369.27safe2.04–5.773.62–7.105.66–12.87safer1.56–6.263.15–7.574.71–13.83
Total shots
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6414.9827.63safe8.72–16.5711.42–18.5520.14–35.11safer7.63–17.6610.46–19.5018.09–37.16
Shots in box
25%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction7.659.9417.59safe4.71–10.597.26–12.6211.96–23.21safer3.88–11.426.52–13.3510.40–24.78
Blocked shots
38%
14%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.824.198.01safe1.94–5.702.54–5.844.48–11.55safer1.40–6.252.05–6.343.44–12.59
Corners
31%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.575.6910.25safe2.35–6.783.69–7.696.04–14.47safer1.78–7.353.15–8.224.93–15.57
Possession %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction42.1158.31safe35.32–48.9051.52–65.09safer33.65–50.5749.85–66.76
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction413549963safe346–480483–616829–1096safer328–499465–633793–1132
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction63.5875.75safe59.55–67.6171.42–80.07safer58.25–68.9070.12–81.38
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4412.2623.70safe8.60–14.279.31–15.2017.91–29.48safer7.84–15.038.56–15.9516.41–30.98
Offsides
28%
20%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.672.273.94safe0.51–2.831.18–3.371.69–6.19safer0.21–3.130.89–3.651.10–6.78
Yellow cards
42%
22%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.931.793.71safe0.88–2.980.66–2.921.54–5.89safer0.61–3.240.37–3.210.98–6.45
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.090.20safe0.00–0.270.00–0.270.00–0.55safer0.00–0.420.00–0.410.00–0.83
GK saves
50%
17%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.192.665.85safe1.76–4.631.10–4.222.86–8.85safer1.37–5.020.68–4.642.05–9.66
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.15 0.18–2.12 0.00–2.37 | 1.70 0.84–2.55 0.61–2.78 | 2.84 1.02–4.67 0.54–5.15 | 26% 24% 50% |
| Shots on target | 3.91 2.04–5.77 1.56–6.26 | 5.36 3.62–7.10 3.15–7.57 | 9.27 5.66–12.87 4.71–13.83 | 26% 62% |
| Total shots | 12.64 8.72–16.57 7.63–17.66 | 14.98 11.42–18.55 10.46–19.50 | 27.63 20.14–35.11 18.09–37.16 | 29% 64% |
| Shots in box | 7.65 4.71–10.59 3.88–11.42 | 9.94 7.26–12.62 6.52–13.35 | 17.59 11.96–23.21 10.40–24.78 | 25% 66% |
| Blocked shots | 3.82 1.94–5.70 1.40–6.25 | 4.19 2.54–5.84 2.05–6.34 | 8.01 4.48–11.55 3.44–12.59 | 38% 14% 48% |
| Corners | 4.57 2.35–6.78 1.78–7.35 | 5.69 3.69–7.69 3.15–8.22 | 10.25 6.04–14.47 4.93–15.57 | 31% 58% |
| Possession % | 42.11 35.32–48.90 33.65–50.57 | 58.31 51.52–65.09 49.85–66.76 | — | 15% 82% |
| Passes | 413 346–480 328–499 | 549 483–616 465–633 | 963 829–1096 793–1132 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.58 59.55–67.61 58.25–68.90 | 75.75 71.42–80.07 70.12–81.38 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 11.44 8.60–14.27 7.84–15.03 | 12.26 9.31–15.20 8.56–15.95 | 23.70 17.91–29.48 16.41–30.98 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.67 0.51–2.83 0.21–3.13 | 2.27 1.18–3.37 0.89–3.65 | 3.94 1.69–6.19 1.10–6.78 | 28% 20% 52% |
| Yellow cards | 1.93 0.88–2.98 0.61–3.24 | 1.79 0.66–2.92 0.37–3.21 | 3.71 1.54–5.89 0.98–6.45 | 42% 22% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.19 1.76–4.63 1.37–5.02 | 2.66 1.10–4.22 0.68–4.64 | 5.85 2.86–8.85 2.05–9.66 | 50% 17% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.