Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
22%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.940.992.92safe0.97–2.900.13–1.841.10–4.75safer0.72–3.160.00–2.070.62–5.23
Shots on target
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.953.499.44safe4.08–7.811.75–5.235.83–13.04safer3.59–8.301.28–5.704.88–14.00
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction15.809.9825.78safe11.87–19.726.42–13.5518.29–33.27safer10.78–20.815.46–14.5116.24–35.32
Shots in box
78%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction10.396.6917.08safe7.44–13.334.01–9.3711.45–22.70safer6.61–14.163.27–10.119.89–24.27
Blocked shots
59%
14%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.082.957.03safe2.20–5.961.30–4.603.49–10.56safer1.65–6.500.81–5.102.46–11.60
Corners
77%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.964.0611.02safe4.75–9.182.06–6.066.81–15.24safer4.18–9.751.53–6.595.70–16.34
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction58.1043.02safe51.31–64.8936.23–49.80safer49.64–66.5634.56–51.47
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction5934191012safe526–660352–485878–1146safer508–679335–503842–1181
Pass accuracy %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction74.4769.66safe70.44–78.5065.33–73.98safer69.15–79.7964.02–75.29
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2811.3722.65safe8.44–14.128.43–14.3216.87–28.43safer7.68–14.877.68–15.0615.36–29.94
Offsides
50%
21%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction2.131.603.73safe0.97–3.290.51–2.691.47–5.98safer0.67–3.590.22–2.980.88–6.57
Yellow cards
30%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.933.42safe0.44–2.530.80–3.061.24–5.60safer0.17–2.800.51–3.350.68–6.15
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
22%
14%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.493.886.37safe1.05–3.932.32–5.433.38–9.36safer0.67–4.311.90–5.862.56–10.17
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.94 0.97–2.90 0.72–3.16 | 0.99 0.13–1.84 0.00–2.07 | 2.92 1.10–4.75 0.62–5.23 | 59% 22% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.95 4.08–7.81 3.59–8.30 | 3.49 1.75–5.23 1.28–5.70 | 9.44 5.83–13.04 4.88–14.00 | 74% 16% |
| Total shots | 15.80 11.87–19.72 10.78–20.81 | 9.98 6.42–13.55 5.46–14.51 | 25.78 18.29–33.27 16.24–35.32 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 10.39 7.44–13.33 6.61–14.16 | 6.69 4.01–9.37 3.27–10.11 | 17.08 11.45–22.70 9.89–24.27 | 78% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 4.08 2.20–5.96 1.65–6.50 | 2.95 1.30–4.60 0.81–5.10 | 7.03 3.49–10.56 2.46–11.60 | 59% 14% 27% |
| Corners | 6.96 4.75–9.18 4.18–9.75 | 4.06 2.06–6.06 1.53–6.59 | 11.02 6.81–15.24 5.70–16.34 | 77% 15% |
| Possession % | 58.10 51.31–64.89 49.64–66.56 | 43.02 36.23–49.80 34.56–51.47 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 593 526–660 508–679 | 419 352–485 335–503 | 1012 878–1146 842–1181 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.47 70.44–78.50 69.15–79.79 | 69.66 65.33–73.98 64.02–75.29 | — | 71% 25% |
| Fouls | 11.28 8.44–14.12 7.68–14.87 | 11.37 8.43–14.32 7.68–15.06 | 22.65 16.87–28.43 15.36–29.94 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 2.13 0.97–3.29 0.67–3.59 | 1.60 0.51–2.69 0.22–2.98 | 3.73 1.47–5.98 0.88–6.57 | 50% 21% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.49 0.44–2.53 0.17–2.80 | 1.93 0.80–3.06 0.51–3.35 | 3.42 1.24–5.60 0.68–6.15 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.49 1.05–3.93 0.67–4.31 | 3.88 2.32–5.43 1.90–5.86 | 6.37 3.38–9.36 2.56–10.17 | 22% 14% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.