Premiership·Regular Season - 10·
Premiership·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
24%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.613.10safe0.52–2.460.75–2.461.28–4.92safer0.27–2.710.52–2.690.80–5.40
Shots on target
41%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.744.939.68safe2.88–6.613.19–6.676.07–13.28safer2.39–7.102.72–7.145.12–14.24
Total shots
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3013.5226.82safe9.37–17.229.96–17.0819.33–34.31safer8.28–18.319.00–18.0417.28–36.36
Shots in box
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction8.839.4518.28safe5.89–11.786.77–12.1312.66–23.90safer5.06–12.606.03–12.8611.09–25.47
Blocked shots
42%
14%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.054.148.19safe2.17–5.932.49–5.804.65–11.72safer1.62–6.472.00–6.293.62–12.76
Corners
43%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction5.125.1810.30safe2.91–7.343.18–7.186.09–14.51safer2.34–7.912.64–7.714.98–15.62
Possession %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction54.9644.67safe48.17–61.7537.89–51.46safer46.50–63.4236.22–53.13
Passes
84%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction534412947safe467–602346–479813–1080safer449–620328–496777–1116
Pass accuracy %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction72.2072.83safe68.17–76.2368.50–77.15safer66.88–77.5367.19–78.46
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1811.4723.65safe9.35–15.028.52–14.4117.87–29.43safer8.59–15.787.77–15.1616.36–30.94
Offsides
35%
24%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.552.94safe0.24–2.560.45–2.640.69–5.20safer0.00–2.860.16–2.930.10–5.79
Yellow cards
38%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.883.69safe0.76–2.860.75–3.011.51–5.87safer0.49–3.120.46–3.300.95–6.43
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
44%
16%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.343.216.55safe1.90–4.771.65–4.773.55–9.54safer1.51–5.161.23–5.192.74–10.35
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.49 0.52–2.46 0.27–2.71 | 1.61 0.75–2.46 0.52–2.69 | 3.10 1.28–4.92 0.80–5.40 | 36% 24% 41% |
| Shots on target | 4.74 2.88–6.61 2.39–7.10 | 4.93 3.19–6.67 2.72–7.14 | 9.68 6.07–13.28 5.12–14.24 | 41% 46% |
| Total shots | 13.30 9.37–17.22 8.28–18.31 | 13.52 9.96–17.08 9.00–18.04 | 26.82 19.33–34.31 17.28–36.36 | 44% 48% |
| Shots in box | 8.83 5.89–11.78 5.06–12.60 | 9.45 6.77–12.13 6.03–12.86 | 18.28 12.66–23.90 11.09–25.47 | 40% 51% |
| Blocked shots | 4.05 2.17–5.93 1.62–6.47 | 4.14 2.49–5.80 2.00–6.29 | 8.19 4.65–11.72 3.62–12.76 | 42% 14% 44% |
| Corners | 5.12 2.91–7.34 2.34–7.91 | 5.18 3.18–7.18 2.64–7.71 | 10.30 6.09–14.51 4.98–15.62 | 43% 44% |
| Possession % | 54.96 48.17–61.75 46.50–63.42 | 44.67 37.89–51.46 36.22–53.13 | — | 71% 25% |
| Passes | 534 467–602 449–620 | 412 346–479 328–496 | 947 813–1080 777–1116 | 84% 15% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.20 68.17–76.23 66.88–77.53 | 72.83 68.50–77.15 67.19–78.46 | — | 44% 51% |
| Fouls | 12.18 9.35–15.02 8.59–15.78 | 11.47 8.52–14.41 7.77–15.16 | 23.65 17.87–29.43 16.36–30.94 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.40 0.24–2.56 0.00–2.86 | 1.55 0.45–2.64 0.16–2.93 | 2.94 0.69–5.20 0.10–5.79 | 35% 24% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.81 0.76–2.86 0.49–3.12 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.69 1.51–5.87 0.95–6.43 | 38% 22% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.34 1.90–4.77 1.51–5.16 | 3.21 1.65–4.77 1.23–5.19 | 6.55 3.55–9.54 2.74–10.35 | 44% 16% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+