Premiership·Regular Season - 18·
Premiership·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
22%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.253.14safe0.92–2.860.39–2.101.31–4.96safer0.67–3.110.16–2.330.84–5.44
Shots on target
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.014.2810.29safe4.15–7.882.53–6.026.68–13.89safer3.66–8.372.07–6.485.73–14.85
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction16.4810.9027.38safe12.56–20.417.34–14.4619.89–34.87safer11.46–21.506.38–15.4217.84–36.92
Shots in box
79%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction11.277.3218.58safe8.32–14.214.64–10.0012.96–24.21safer7.49–15.043.90–10.7411.39–25.77
Blocked shots
62%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.603.237.82safe2.71–6.481.58–4.884.29–11.36safer2.17–7.021.08–5.373.25–12.40
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.294.5310.82safe4.08–8.502.53–6.536.61–15.03safer3.50–9.082.00–7.065.50–16.14
Possession %
32%
64%
homeawayprediction46.5053.56safe39.71–53.2946.78–60.35safer38.04–54.9645.10–62.02
Passes
30%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction439500939safe372–506433–566805–1073safer354–524416–584770–1108
Pass accuracy %
29%
66%
homeawayprediction71.6375.39safe67.60–75.6671.07–79.72safer66.31–76.9569.76–81.03
Fouls
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7412.8223.56safe7.90–13.589.87–15.7617.77–29.34safer7.15–14.339.12–16.5116.27–30.84
Offsides
50%
23%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.233.00safe0.61–2.930.14–2.320.75–5.26safer0.31–3.240.00–2.610.16–5.85
Yellow cards
26%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.432.083.51safe0.38–2.480.95–3.211.33–5.69safer0.12–2.750.66–3.500.78–6.25
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
24%
14%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.683.946.62safe1.24–4.122.38–5.493.62–9.61safer0.86–4.501.96–5.922.81–10.42
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.89 0.92–2.86 0.67–3.11 | 1.25 0.39–2.10 0.16–2.33 | 3.14 1.31–4.96 0.84–5.44 | 52% 22% 25% |
| Shots on target | 6.01 4.15–7.88 3.66–8.37 | 4.28 2.53–6.02 2.07–6.48 | 10.29 6.68–13.89 5.73–14.85 | 65% 24% |
| Total shots | 16.48 12.56–20.41 11.46–21.50 | 10.90 7.34–14.46 6.38–15.42 | 27.38 19.89–34.87 17.84–36.92 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 11.27 8.32–14.21 7.49–15.04 | 7.32 4.64–10.00 3.90–10.74 | 18.58 12.96–24.21 11.39–25.77 | 79% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 4.60 2.71–6.48 2.17–7.02 | 3.23 1.58–4.88 1.08–5.37 | 7.82 4.29–11.36 3.25–12.40 | 62% 25% |
| Corners | 6.29 4.08–8.50 3.50–9.08 | 4.53 2.53–6.53 2.00–7.06 | 10.82 6.61–15.03 5.50–16.14 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 46.50 39.71–53.29 38.04–54.96 | 53.56 46.78–60.35 45.10–62.02 | — | 32% 64% |
| Passes | 439 372–506 354–524 | 500 433–566 416–584 | 939 805–1073 770–1108 | 30% 69% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.63 67.60–75.66 66.31–76.95 | 75.39 71.07–79.72 69.76–81.03 | — | 29% 66% |
| Fouls | 10.74 7.90–13.58 7.15–14.33 | 12.82 9.87–15.76 9.12–16.51 | 23.56 17.77–29.34 16.27–30.84 | 30% 63% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.61–2.93 0.31–3.24 | 1.23 0.14–2.32 0.00–2.61 | 3.00 0.75–5.26 0.16–5.85 | 50% 23% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.43 0.38–2.48 0.12–2.75 | 2.08 0.95–3.21 0.66–3.50 | 3.51 1.33–5.69 0.78–6.25 | 26% 21% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.68 1.24–4.12 0.86–4.50 | 3.94 2.38–5.49 1.96–5.92 | 6.62 3.62–9.61 2.81–10.42 | 24% 14% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.