Premiership·Regular Season - 10·
Premiership·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction2.020.722.74safe1.05–2.980.00–1.580.92–4.56safer0.80–3.240.00–1.810.44–5.04
Shots on target
89%
homeawaytotalprediction6.672.529.18safe4.80–8.530.78–4.265.58–12.79safer4.31–9.020.31–4.734.62–13.75
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction18.627.7326.35safe14.70–22.554.16–11.2918.86–33.84safer13.61–23.643.20–12.2516.81–35.89
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction12.274.8317.10safe9.33–15.212.15–7.5111.48–22.73safer8.50–16.041.41–8.259.91–24.29
Blocked shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction5.162.117.26safe3.27–7.040.45–3.763.73–10.80safer2.73–7.580.00–4.252.69–11.83
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.993.2910.29safe4.78–9.211.29–5.296.07–14.50safer4.21–9.780.76–5.834.97–15.61
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction55.1945.36safe48.40–61.9838.57–52.14safer46.73–63.6536.90–53.81
Passes
80%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction500398898safe433–567332–465765–1032safer415–585314–482729–1068
Pass accuracy %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction69.0467.16safe65.01–73.0762.83–71.48safer63.72–74.3661.53–72.79
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0413.4126.45safe10.21–15.8810.46–16.3520.67–32.23safer9.45–16.649.71–17.1019.16–33.74
Offsides
40%
23%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.593.26safe0.50–2.830.50–2.691.00–5.51safer0.20–3.130.21–2.970.42–6.10
Yellow cards
21%
19%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.382.393.77safe0.33–2.431.26–3.521.59–5.95safer0.06–2.690.97–3.811.03–6.51
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.120.17safe0.00–0.210.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
79%
homeawaytotalprediction2.094.646.73safe0.65–3.523.08–6.203.73–9.72safer0.26–3.912.66–6.622.92–10.53
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.02 1.05–2.98 0.80–3.24 | 0.72 0.00–1.58 0.00–1.81 | 2.74 0.92–4.56 0.44–5.04 | 68% 20% |
| Shots on target | 6.67 4.80–8.53 4.31–9.02 | 2.52 0.78–4.26 0.31–4.73 | 9.18 5.58–12.79 4.62–13.75 | 89% |
| Total shots | 18.62 14.70–22.55 13.61–23.64 | 7.73 4.16–11.29 3.20–12.25 | 26.35 18.86–33.84 16.81–35.89 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 12.27 9.33–15.21 8.50–16.04 | 4.83 2.15–7.51 1.41–8.25 | 17.10 11.48–22.73 9.91–24.29 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 5.16 3.27–7.04 2.73–7.58 | 2.11 0.45–3.76 0.00–4.25 | 7.26 3.73–10.80 2.69–11.83 | 83% |
| Corners | 6.99 4.78–9.21 4.21–9.78 | 3.29 1.29–5.29 0.76–5.83 | 10.29 6.07–14.50 4.97–15.61 | 84% |
| Possession % | 55.19 48.40–61.98 46.73–63.65 | 45.36 38.57–52.14 36.90–53.81 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 500 433–567 415–585 | 398 332–465 314–482 | 898 765–1032 729–1068 | 80% 20% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.04 65.01–73.07 63.72–74.36 | 67.16 62.83–71.48 61.53–72.79 | — | 57% 38% |
| Fouls | 13.04 10.21–15.88 9.45–16.64 | 13.41 10.46–16.35 9.71–17.10 | 26.45 20.67–32.23 19.16–33.74 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.67 0.50–2.83 0.20–3.13 | 1.59 0.50–2.69 0.21–2.97 | 3.26 1.00–5.51 0.42–6.10 | 40% 23% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.38 0.33–2.43 0.06–2.69 | 2.39 1.26–3.52 0.97–3.81 | 3.77 1.59–5.95 1.03–6.51 | 21% 19% 60% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.09 0.65–3.52 0.26–3.91 | 4.64 3.08–6.20 2.66–6.62 | 6.73 3.73–9.72 2.92–10.53 | 79% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.