Premiership·Regular Season - 18·
Premiership·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
22%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction0.881.852.73safe0.00–1.851.00–2.710.91–4.55safer0.00–2.100.77–2.940.43–5.03
Shots on target
17%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction3.135.418.54safe1.27–4.993.67–7.154.93–12.14safer0.78–5.483.20–7.623.98–13.10
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5016.0826.58safe6.57–14.4212.52–19.6519.10–34.07safer5.48–15.5211.56–20.6117.05–36.12
Shots in box
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.2410.3416.58safe3.30–9.197.65–13.0210.96–22.20safer2.47–10.026.92–13.759.39–23.77
Blocked shots
21%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.814.517.32safe0.93–4.692.86–6.163.79–10.86safer0.39–5.242.37–6.662.75–11.89
Corners
27%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction4.305.7610.07safe2.09–6.523.76–7.765.85–14.28safer1.52–7.093.23–8.304.75–15.39
Possession %
32%
64%
homeawayprediction47.1354.27safe40.34–53.9247.48–61.05safer38.67–55.5945.81–62.72
Passes
38%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction416453869safe349–483386–519735–1003safer331–502369–537700–1038
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction62.3870.87safe58.35–66.4166.54–75.19safer57.06–67.7065.23–76.50
Fouls
41%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9713.7026.67safe10.13–15.8110.75–16.6420.89–32.45safer9.38–16.5610.01–17.3919.38–33.95
Offsides
41%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.713.52safe0.65–2.970.62–2.811.27–5.78safer0.35–3.270.33–3.100.68–6.37
Yellow cards
42%
21%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.001.853.85safe0.95–3.050.72–2.981.68–6.03safer0.69–3.320.43–3.271.12–6.59
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
56%
16%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.302.445.74safe1.87–4.740.88–4.002.75–8.73safer1.48–5.130.46–4.421.94–9.55
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.88 0.00–1.85 0.00–2.10 | 1.85 1.00–2.71 0.77–2.94 | 2.73 0.91–4.55 0.43–5.03 | 17% 22% 60% |
| Shots on target | 3.13 1.27–4.99 0.78–5.48 | 5.41 3.67–7.15 3.20–7.62 | 8.54 4.93–12.14 3.98–13.10 | 17% 73% |
| Total shots | 10.50 6.57–14.42 5.48–15.52 | 16.08 12.52–19.65 11.56–20.61 | 26.58 19.10–34.07 17.05–36.12 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 6.24 3.30–9.19 2.47–10.02 | 10.34 7.65–13.02 6.92–13.75 | 16.58 10.96–22.20 9.39–23.77 | 81% |
| Blocked shots | 2.81 0.93–4.69 0.39–5.24 | 4.51 2.86–6.16 2.37–6.66 | 7.32 3.79–10.86 2.75–11.89 | 21% 67% |
| Corners | 4.30 2.09–6.52 1.52–7.09 | 5.76 3.76–7.76 3.23–8.30 | 10.07 5.85–14.28 4.75–15.39 | 27% 62% |
| Possession % | 47.13 40.34–53.92 38.67–55.59 | 54.27 47.48–61.05 45.81–62.72 | — | 32% 64% |
| Passes | 416 349–483 331–502 | 453 386–519 369–537 | 869 735–1003 700–1038 | 38% 62% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.38 58.35–66.41 57.06–67.70 | 70.87 66.54–75.19 65.23–76.50 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 12.97 10.13–15.81 9.38–16.56 | 13.70 10.75–16.64 10.01–17.39 | 26.67 20.89–32.45 19.38–33.95 | 41% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.35–3.27 | 1.71 0.62–2.81 0.33–3.10 | 3.52 1.27–5.78 0.68–6.37 | 41% 22% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 2.00 0.95–3.05 0.69–3.32 | 1.85 0.72–2.98 0.43–3.27 | 3.85 1.68–6.03 1.12–6.59 | 42% 21% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.30 1.87–4.74 1.48–5.13 | 2.44 0.88–4.00 0.46–4.42 | 5.74 2.75–8.73 1.94–9.55 | 56% 16% 28% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.