Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
27%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.212.56safe0.38–2.320.36–2.070.74–4.38safer0.13–2.570.13–2.290.26–4.86
Shots on target
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.123.858.97safe3.26–6.982.11–5.595.36–12.57safer2.77–7.471.64–6.064.41–13.53
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction17.4011.5028.90safe13.47–21.327.94–15.0621.41–36.39safer12.38–22.426.98–16.0219.36–38.44
Shots in box
66%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction9.927.6717.59safe6.98–12.864.99–10.3611.97–23.22safer6.15–13.694.26–11.0910.40–24.78
Blocked shots
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.263.658.91safe3.37–7.142.00–5.305.37–12.44safer2.83–7.681.51–5.804.34–13.48
Corners
61%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction6.214.7810.99safe4.00–8.422.78–6.786.78–15.20safer3.42–9.002.25–7.315.67–16.31
Possession %
77%
19%
homeawayprediction57.0843.35safe50.29–63.8736.56–50.13safer48.62–65.5434.89–51.80
Passes
83%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction497383879safe429–564316–449745–1013safer411–582299–467710–1048
Pass accuracy %
55%
40%
homeawayprediction69.7568.28safe65.72–73.7863.96–72.61safer64.43–75.0762.65–73.92
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9712.1424.11safe9.13–14.819.19–15.0818.32–29.89safer8.38–15.568.44–15.8316.82–31.39
Offsides
41%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.713.52safe0.65–2.970.62–2.801.27–5.78safer0.35–3.270.33–3.090.68–6.37
Yellow cards
39%
21%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.903.77safe0.82–2.920.77–3.031.59–5.95safer0.56–3.190.48–3.321.03–6.51
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.070.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.260.00–0.51safer0.00–0.400.00–0.390.00–0.80
GK saves
25%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.603.806.40safe1.17–4.042.24–5.353.41–9.39safer0.78–4.431.82–5.782.60–10.21
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.35 0.38–2.32 0.13–2.57 | 1.21 0.36–2.07 0.13–2.29 | 2.56 0.74–4.38 0.26–4.86 | 40% 27% 34% |
| Shots on target | 5.12 3.26–6.98 2.77–7.47 | 3.85 2.11–5.59 1.64–6.06 | 8.97 5.36–12.57 4.41–13.53 | 60% 28% |
| Total shots | 17.40 13.47–21.32 12.38–22.42 | 11.50 7.94–15.06 6.98–16.02 | 28.90 21.41–36.39 19.36–38.44 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 9.92 6.98–12.86 6.15–13.69 | 7.67 4.99–10.36 4.26–11.09 | 17.59 11.97–23.22 10.40–24.78 | 66% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 5.26 3.37–7.14 2.83–7.68 | 3.65 2.00–5.30 1.51–5.80 | 8.91 5.37–12.44 4.34–13.48 | 64% 24% |
| Corners | 6.21 4.00–8.42 3.42–9.00 | 4.78 2.78–6.78 2.25–7.31 | 10.99 6.78–15.20 5.67–16.31 | 61% 28% |
| Possession % | 57.08 50.29–63.87 48.62–65.54 | 43.35 36.56–50.13 34.89–51.80 | — | 77% 19% |
| Passes | 497 429–564 411–582 | 383 316–449 299–467 | 879 745–1013 710–1048 | 83% 17% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.75 65.72–73.78 64.43–75.07 | 68.28 63.96–72.61 62.65–73.92 | — | 55% 40% |
| Fouls | 11.97 9.13–14.81 8.38–15.56 | 12.14 9.19–15.08 8.44–15.83 | 24.11 18.32–29.89 16.82–31.39 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.35–3.27 | 1.71 0.62–2.80 0.33–3.09 | 3.52 1.27–5.78 0.68–6.37 | 41% 22% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.87 0.82–2.92 0.56–3.19 | 1.90 0.77–3.03 0.48–3.32 | 3.77 1.59–5.95 1.03–6.51 | 39% 21% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.60 1.17–4.04 0.78–4.43 | 3.80 2.24–5.35 1.82–5.78 | 6.40 3.41–9.39 2.60–10.21 | 25% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+