Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
26%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.382.75safe0.40–2.340.53–2.230.93–4.57safer0.15–2.590.30–2.460.45–5.05
Shots on target
41%
13%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.464.679.14safe2.60–6.332.93–6.415.53–12.74safer2.11–6.822.46–6.884.57–13.70
Total shots
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8513.4927.34safe9.93–17.789.93–17.0519.86–34.83safer8.84–18.878.97–18.0117.81–36.88
Shots in box
44%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction9.059.2418.29safe6.11–11.996.56–11.9212.66–23.91safer5.28–12.825.82–12.6611.10–25.48
Blocked shots
38%
15%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.473.807.27safe1.58–5.352.15–5.453.73–10.80safer1.04–5.891.66–5.952.70–11.84
Corners
47%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.425.1610.58safe3.21–7.633.16–7.166.37–14.79safer2.63–8.212.63–7.695.26–15.90
Possession %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction45.2954.02safe38.50–52.0847.23–60.80safer36.83–53.7545.56–62.47
Passes
28%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction416485902safe349–484419–552768–1035safer331–502401–569732–1071
Pass accuracy %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction65.7273.48safe61.69–69.7569.16–77.81safer60.40–71.0467.85–79.11
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0412.5124.56safe9.21–14.889.57–15.4618.77–30.34safer8.45–15.648.82–16.2117.27–31.84
Offsides
39%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.673.38safe0.55–2.870.58–2.761.12–5.63safer0.25–3.170.29–3.050.54–6.22
Yellow cards
29%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.522.033.55safe0.47–2.570.90–3.151.37–5.73safer0.21–2.840.61–3.450.81–6.28
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
48%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.282.886.16safe1.84–4.721.33–4.443.17–9.16safer1.46–5.100.90–4.862.36–9.97
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.37 0.40–2.34 0.15–2.59 | 1.38 0.53–2.23 0.30–2.46 | 2.75 0.93–4.57 0.45–5.05 | 37% 26% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.46 2.60–6.33 2.11–6.82 | 4.67 2.93–6.41 2.46–6.88 | 9.14 5.53–12.74 4.57–13.70 | 41% 13% 46% |
| Total shots | 13.85 9.93–17.78 8.84–18.87 | 13.49 9.93–17.05 8.97–18.01 | 27.34 19.86–34.83 17.81–36.88 | 49% 43% |
| Shots in box | 9.05 6.11–11.99 5.28–12.82 | 9.24 6.56–11.92 5.82–12.66 | 18.29 12.66–23.91 11.10–25.48 | 44% 47% |
| Blocked shots | 3.47 1.58–5.35 1.04–5.89 | 3.80 2.15–5.45 1.66–5.95 | 7.27 3.73–10.80 2.70–11.84 | 38% 15% 47% |
| Corners | 5.42 3.21–7.63 2.63–8.21 | 5.16 3.16–7.16 2.63–7.69 | 10.58 6.37–14.79 5.26–15.90 | 47% 41% |
| Possession % | 45.29 38.50–52.08 36.83–53.75 | 54.02 47.23–60.80 45.56–62.47 | — | 28% 68% |
| Passes | 416 349–484 331–502 | 485 419–552 401–569 | 902 768–1035 732–1071 | 28% 72% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.72 61.69–69.75 60.40–71.04 | 73.48 69.16–77.81 67.85–79.11 | — | 14% 83% |
| Fouls | 12.04 9.21–14.88 8.45–15.64 | 12.51 9.57–15.46 8.82–16.21 | 24.56 18.77–30.34 17.27–31.84 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.17 | 1.67 0.58–2.76 0.29–3.05 | 3.38 1.12–5.63 0.54–6.22 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.52 0.47–2.57 0.21–2.84 | 2.03 0.90–3.15 0.61–3.45 | 3.55 1.37–5.73 0.81–6.28 | 29% 21% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.28 1.84–4.72 1.46–5.10 | 2.88 1.33–4.44 0.90–4.86 | 6.16 3.17–9.16 2.36–9.97 | 48% 16% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+