Premiership·Regular Season - 11·
Premiership·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
61%
21%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.051.013.06safe1.08–3.020.15–1.861.24–4.88safer0.83–3.270.00–2.090.76–5.36
Shots on target
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.084.0010.08safe4.21–7.942.26–5.756.47–13.68safer3.72–8.431.79–6.215.52–14.64
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction17.4911.0128.50safe13.57–21.427.45–14.5721.02–35.99safer12.48–22.516.49–15.5318.97–38.04
Shots in box
81%
homeawaytotalprediction11.437.1018.53safe8.49–14.374.42–9.7812.91–24.15safer7.66–15.203.68–10.5211.34–25.72
Blocked shots
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.223.308.52safe3.33–7.101.65–4.954.98–12.05safer2.79–7.641.15–5.443.95–13.09
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction7.013.7210.73safe4.79–9.221.72–5.726.51–14.94safer4.22–9.791.19–6.255.41–16.05
Possession %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction58.7142.05safe51.92–65.5035.26–48.83safer50.25–67.1733.59–50.50
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction569409978safe502–637342–475845–1112safer484–655325–493809–1148
Pass accuracy %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction75.7070.76safe71.67–79.7366.44–75.09safer70.38–81.0265.13–76.40
Fouls
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6310.4422.07safe8.80–14.477.49–13.3816.29–27.85safer8.04–15.236.74–14.1314.78–29.35
Offsides
42%
24%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.423.02safe0.44–2.760.33–2.520.77–5.27safer0.13–3.060.04–2.810.18–5.86
Yellow cards
29%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.873.30safe0.37–2.470.74–3.001.12–5.47safer0.11–2.740.45–3.290.56–6.03
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
25%
14%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.743.996.73safe1.30–4.182.43–5.553.74–9.72safer0.92–4.562.01–5.972.92–10.53
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.05 1.08–3.02 0.83–3.27 | 1.01 0.15–1.86 0.00–2.09 | 3.06 1.24–4.88 0.76–5.36 | 61% 21% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.08 4.21–7.94 3.72–8.43 | 4.00 2.26–5.75 1.79–6.21 | 10.08 6.47–13.68 5.52–14.64 | 69% 21% |
| Total shots | 17.49 13.57–21.42 12.48–22.51 | 11.01 7.45–14.57 6.49–15.53 | 28.50 21.02–35.99 18.97–38.04 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 11.43 8.49–14.37 7.66–15.20 | 7.10 4.42–9.78 3.68–10.52 | 18.53 12.91–24.15 11.34–25.72 | 81% |
| Blocked shots | 5.22 3.33–7.10 2.79–7.64 | 3.30 1.65–4.95 1.15–5.44 | 8.52 4.98–12.05 3.95–13.09 | 69% 20% |
| Corners | 7.01 4.79–9.22 4.22–9.79 | 3.72 1.72–5.72 1.19–6.25 | 10.73 6.51–14.94 5.41–16.05 | 80% |
| Possession % | 58.71 51.92–65.50 50.25–67.17 | 42.05 35.26–48.83 33.59–50.50 | — | 82% 15% |
| Passes | 569 502–637 484–655 | 409 342–475 325–493 | 978 845–1112 809–1148 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.70 71.67–79.73 70.38–81.02 | 70.76 66.44–75.09 65.13–76.40 | — | 72% 24% |
| Fouls | 11.63 8.80–14.47 8.04–15.23 | 10.44 7.49–13.38 6.74–14.13 | 22.07 16.29–27.85 14.78–29.35 | 56% 36% |
| Offsides | 1.60 0.44–2.76 0.13–3.06 | 1.42 0.33–2.52 0.04–2.81 | 3.02 0.77–5.27 0.18–5.86 | 42% 24% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.42 0.37–2.47 0.11–2.74 | 1.87 0.74–3.00 0.45–3.29 | 3.30 1.12–5.47 0.56–6.03 | 29% 22% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.74 1.30–4.18 0.92–4.56 | 3.99 2.43–5.55 2.01–5.97 | 6.73 3.74–9.72 2.92–10.53 | 25% 14% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.