Premiership·Regular Season - 21·
Premiership·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
23%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.161.772.94safe0.20–2.130.92–2.631.11–4.76safer0.00–2.380.69–2.860.63–5.24
Shots on target
25%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction4.045.599.62safe2.17–5.903.84–7.336.02–13.23safer1.68–6.393.38–7.795.06–14.18
Total shots
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2215.8129.04safe9.30–17.1512.25–19.3821.55–36.53safer8.21–18.2411.29–20.3419.50–38.58
Shots in box
27%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction8.0810.1318.21safe5.13–11.027.45–12.8112.58–23.83safer4.30–11.856.71–13.5511.02–25.40
Blocked shots
39%
14%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.994.278.25safe2.10–5.872.61–5.924.72–11.79safer1.56–6.412.12–6.413.68–12.82
Corners
30%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.575.7410.32safe2.36–6.793.74–7.746.10–14.53safer1.79–7.363.21–8.285.00–15.64
Possession %
20%
77%
homeawayprediction43.7857.08safe36.99–50.5750.30–63.87safer35.32–52.2448.63–65.54
Passes
16%
84%
homeawaytotalprediction418536953safe350–485469–602820–1087safer332–503452–620784–1123
Pass accuracy %
13%
84%
homeawayprediction68.3776.48safe64.34–72.4072.16–80.81safer63.05–73.6970.85–82.12
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3711.9422.31safe7.54–13.218.99–14.8816.53–28.09safer6.78–13.978.24–15.6315.02–29.60
Offsides
38%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.623.23safe0.46–2.780.53–2.710.98–5.49safer0.15–3.080.24–3.000.39–6.08
Yellow cards
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.913.67safe0.71–2.810.78–3.041.50–5.85safer0.45–3.080.49–3.330.94–6.41
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.110.21safe0.00–0.270.00–0.290.00–0.56safer0.00–0.410.00–0.430.00–0.84
GK saves
51%
16%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.352.806.15safe1.92–4.791.24–4.353.16–9.14safer1.53–5.180.82–4.782.35–9.96
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.16 0.20–2.13 0.00–2.38 | 1.77 0.92–2.63 0.69–2.86 | 2.94 1.11–4.76 0.63–5.24 | 25% 23% 52% |
| Shots on target | 4.04 2.17–5.90 1.68–6.39 | 5.59 3.84–7.33 3.38–7.79 | 9.62 6.02–13.23 5.06–14.18 | 25% 63% |
| Total shots | 13.22 9.30–17.15 8.21–18.24 | 15.81 12.25–19.38 11.29–20.34 | 29.04 21.55–36.53 19.50–38.58 | 28% 65% |
| Shots in box | 8.08 5.13–11.02 4.30–11.85 | 10.13 7.45–12.81 6.71–13.55 | 18.21 12.58–23.83 11.02–25.40 | 27% 64% |
| Blocked shots | 3.99 2.10–5.87 1.56–6.41 | 4.27 2.61–5.92 2.12–6.41 | 8.25 4.72–11.79 3.68–12.82 | 39% 14% 47% |
| Corners | 4.57 2.36–6.79 1.79–7.36 | 5.74 3.74–7.74 3.21–8.28 | 10.32 6.10–14.53 5.00–15.64 | 30% 58% |
| Possession % | 43.78 36.99–50.57 35.32–52.24 | 57.08 50.30–63.87 48.63–65.54 | — | 20% 77% |
| Passes | 418 350–485 332–503 | 536 469–602 452–620 | 953 820–1087 784–1123 | 16% 84% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.37 64.34–72.40 63.05–73.69 | 76.48 72.16–80.81 70.85–82.12 | — | 13% 84% |
| Fouls | 10.37 7.54–13.21 6.78–13.97 | 11.94 8.99–14.88 8.24–15.63 | 22.31 16.53–28.09 15.02–29.60 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.62 0.46–2.78 0.15–3.08 | 1.62 0.53–2.71 0.24–3.00 | 3.23 0.98–5.49 0.39–6.08 | 38% 23% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.76 0.71–2.81 0.45–3.08 | 1.91 0.78–3.04 0.49–3.33 | 3.67 1.50–5.85 0.94–6.41 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.35 1.92–4.79 1.53–5.18 | 2.80 1.24–4.35 0.82–4.78 | 6.15 3.16–9.14 2.35–9.96 | 51% 16% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.