Premiership·Regular Season - 11·
Premiership·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
24%
24%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.081.722.80safe0.12–2.050.86–2.570.98–4.62safer0.00–2.300.63–2.800.50–5.10
Shots on target
31%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.285.319.58safe2.42–6.143.56–7.055.98–13.19safer1.93–6.633.10–7.515.02–14.14
Total shots
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7614.2026.97safe8.84–16.6910.64–17.7619.48–34.45safer7.75–17.789.68–18.7217.43–36.50
Shots in box
37%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction8.629.5718.19safe5.68–11.566.89–12.2512.56–23.81safer4.85–12.396.15–12.9911.00–25.38
Blocked shots
38%
15%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.493.797.28safe1.61–5.372.13–5.443.74–10.81safer1.06–5.911.64–5.932.71–11.85
Corners
36%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.945.6110.55safe2.73–7.163.61–7.616.34–14.77safer2.16–7.733.07–8.145.23–15.87
Possession %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction42.1358.03safe35.34–48.9351.25–64.82safer33.67–50.5949.58–66.49
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction407548955safe340–475481–614821–1089safer322–493464–632786–1124
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction66.0277.28safe61.99–70.0572.95–81.60safer60.69–71.3471.64–82.91
Fouls
32%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6612.4423.10safe7.82–13.499.50–15.3817.31–28.88safer7.06–14.258.75–16.1315.81–30.38
Offsides
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.693.36safe0.50–2.820.60–2.791.10–5.61safer0.20–3.120.31–3.080.51–6.20
Yellow cards
36%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.703.28safe0.53–2.630.57–2.831.10–5.45safer0.26–2.890.28–3.120.54–6.01
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
46%
16%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.262.986.24safe1.82–4.691.43–4.543.25–9.23safer1.43–5.081.00–4.962.44–10.05
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.08 0.12–2.05 0.00–2.30 | 1.72 0.86–2.57 0.63–2.80 | 2.80 0.98–4.62 0.50–5.10 | 24% 24% 52% |
| Shots on target | 4.28 2.42–6.14 1.93–6.63 | 5.31 3.56–7.05 3.10–7.51 | 9.58 5.98–13.19 5.02–14.14 | 31% 57% |
| Total shots | 12.76 8.84–16.69 7.75–17.78 | 14.20 10.64–17.76 9.68–18.72 | 26.97 19.48–34.45 17.43–36.50 | 35% 57% |
| Shots in box | 8.62 5.68–11.56 4.85–12.39 | 9.57 6.89–12.25 6.15–12.99 | 18.19 12.56–23.81 11.00–25.38 | 37% 54% |
| Blocked shots | 3.49 1.61–5.37 1.06–5.91 | 3.79 2.13–5.44 1.64–5.93 | 7.28 3.74–10.81 2.71–11.85 | 38% 15% 47% |
| Corners | 4.94 2.73–7.16 2.16–7.73 | 5.61 3.61–7.61 3.07–8.14 | 10.55 6.34–14.77 5.23–15.87 | 36% 52% |
| Possession % | 42.13 35.34–48.93 33.67–50.59 | 58.03 51.25–64.82 49.58–66.49 | — | 16% 81% |
| Passes | 407 340–475 322–493 | 548 481–614 464–632 | 955 821–1089 786–1124 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.02 61.99–70.05 60.69–71.34 | 77.28 72.95–81.60 71.64–82.91 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 10.66 7.82–13.49 7.06–14.25 | 12.44 9.50–15.38 8.75–16.13 | 23.10 17.31–28.88 15.81–30.38 | 32% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 1.69 0.60–2.79 0.31–3.08 | 3.36 1.10–5.61 0.51–6.20 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.58 0.53–2.63 0.26–2.89 | 1.70 0.57–2.83 0.28–3.12 | 3.28 1.10–5.45 0.54–6.01 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.26 1.82–4.69 1.43–5.08 | 2.98 1.43–4.54 1.00–4.96 | 6.24 3.25–9.23 2.44–10.05 | 46% 16% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.