Premiership·Regular Season - 22·
Premiership·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
21%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.001.043.04safe1.03–2.970.19–1.901.22–4.87safer0.78–3.220.00–2.130.74–5.35
Shots on target
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.963.519.47safe4.10–7.821.76–5.255.86–13.07safer3.61–8.311.30–5.724.91–14.03
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction17.1910.6227.81safe13.26–21.117.06–14.1820.32–35.29safer12.17–22.206.10–15.1418.27–37.34
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction11.306.9318.23safe8.36–14.244.25–9.6112.61–23.86safer7.53–15.073.51–10.3511.04–25.42
Blocked shots
63%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.833.368.19safe2.95–6.711.71–5.024.66–11.73safer2.41–7.261.22–5.513.62–12.77
Corners
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.743.9110.65safe4.52–8.951.91–5.916.44–14.86safer3.95–9.521.38–6.455.33–15.97
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction59.3240.47safe52.53–66.1133.69–47.26safer50.86–67.7832.02–48.93
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction601394995safe534–668328–461861–1129safer516–686310–478826–1164
Pass accuracy %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction75.8970.87safe71.86–79.9266.54–75.19safer70.57–81.2165.24–76.50
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9611.0823.03safe9.12–14.808.13–14.0217.25–28.82safer8.37–15.557.38–14.7715.75–30.32
Offsides
44%
24%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.383.06safe0.52–2.840.29–2.480.81–5.31safer0.21–3.140.00–2.770.22–5.90
Yellow cards
28%
24%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.281.733.01safe0.23–2.330.60–2.860.83–5.19safer0.00–2.590.31–3.150.27–5.74
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
22%
13%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.644.146.78safe1.20–4.082.59–5.703.79–9.77safer0.82–4.462.16–6.122.98–10.59
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.00 1.03–2.97 0.78–3.22 | 1.04 0.19–1.90 0.00–2.13 | 3.04 1.22–4.87 0.74–5.35 | 60% 21% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.96 4.10–7.82 3.61–8.31 | 3.51 1.76–5.25 1.30–5.72 | 9.47 5.86–13.07 4.91–14.03 | 74% 17% |
| Total shots | 17.19 13.26–21.11 12.17–22.20 | 10.62 7.06–14.18 6.10–15.14 | 27.81 20.32–35.29 18.27–37.34 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 11.30 8.36–14.24 7.53–15.07 | 6.93 4.25–9.61 3.51–10.35 | 18.23 12.61–23.86 11.04–25.42 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 4.83 2.95–6.71 2.41–7.26 | 3.36 1.71–5.02 1.22–5.51 | 8.19 4.66–11.73 3.62–12.77 | 63% 24% |
| Corners | 6.74 4.52–8.95 3.95–9.52 | 3.91 1.91–5.91 1.38–6.45 | 10.65 6.44–14.86 5.33–15.97 | 76% 15% |
| Possession % | 59.32 52.53–66.11 50.86–67.78 | 40.47 33.69–47.26 32.02–48.93 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 601 534–668 516–686 | 394 328–461 310–478 | 995 861–1129 826–1164 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.89 71.86–79.92 70.57–81.21 | 70.87 66.54–75.19 65.24–76.50 | — | 72% 24% |
| Fouls | 11.96 9.12–14.80 8.37–15.55 | 11.08 8.13–14.02 7.38–14.77 | 23.03 17.25–28.82 15.75–30.32 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.68 0.52–2.84 0.21–3.14 | 1.38 0.29–2.48 0.00–2.77 | 3.06 0.81–5.31 0.22–5.90 | 44% 24% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.28 0.23–2.33 0.00–2.59 | 1.73 0.60–2.86 0.31–3.15 | 3.01 0.83–5.19 0.27–5.74 | 28% 24% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.64 1.20–4.08 0.82–4.46 | 4.14 2.59–5.70 2.16–6.12 | 6.78 3.79–9.77 2.98–10.59 | 22% 13% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+