Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
25%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.201.622.82safe0.23–2.170.77–2.481.00–4.64safer0.00–2.420.54–2.700.52–5.12
Shots on target
30%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction3.985.069.05safe2.12–5.843.32–6.815.44–12.65safer1.63–6.332.86–7.274.49–13.61
Total shots
32%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3014.2526.55safe8.38–16.2310.69–17.8219.07–34.04safer7.28–17.329.73–18.7817.02–36.09
Shots in box
32%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction8.019.4217.43safe5.07–10.956.74–12.1011.80–23.05safer4.24–11.786.00–12.8410.24–24.62
Blocked shots
36%
15%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.594.037.62safe1.70–5.472.38–5.684.08–11.15safer1.16–6.011.88–6.183.04–12.19
Corners
39%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction5.255.6810.93safe3.04–7.463.68–7.686.72–15.15safer2.46–8.043.15–8.225.61–16.25
Possession %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction48.7051.37safe41.91–55.4944.59–58.16safer40.24–57.1642.91–59.83
Passes
39%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction441474915safe374–509407–540782–1049safer356–527390–558746–1085
Pass accuracy %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction65.6271.17safe61.59–69.6566.85–75.49safer60.30–70.9465.54–76.80
Fouls
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5912.8223.41safe7.75–13.439.87–15.7617.63–29.19safer7.00–14.199.12–16.5116.12–30.70
Offsides
32%
20%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.862.304.16safe0.70–3.021.21–3.391.91–6.42safer0.40–3.330.92–3.681.32–7.01
Yellow cards
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.863.52safe0.61–2.710.73–2.991.34–5.69safer0.34–2.980.44–3.280.78–6.25
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.080.19safe0.00–0.270.00–0.270.00–0.54safer0.00–0.420.00–0.400.00–0.82
GK saves
50%
16%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.362.836.19safe1.92–4.801.28–4.393.20–9.19safer1.54–5.180.85–4.812.39–10.00
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.20 0.23–2.17 0.00–2.42 | 1.62 0.77–2.48 0.54–2.70 | 2.82 1.00–4.64 0.52–5.12 | 28% 25% 47% |
| Shots on target | 3.98 2.12–5.84 1.63–6.33 | 5.06 3.32–6.81 2.86–7.27 | 9.05 5.44–12.65 4.49–13.61 | 30% 58% |
| Total shots | 12.30 8.38–16.23 7.28–17.32 | 14.25 10.69–17.82 9.73–18.78 | 26.55 19.07–34.04 17.02–36.09 | 32% 61% |
| Shots in box | 8.01 5.07–10.95 4.24–11.78 | 9.42 6.74–12.10 6.00–12.84 | 17.43 11.80–23.05 10.24–24.62 | 32% 59% |
| Blocked shots | 3.59 1.70–5.47 1.16–6.01 | 4.03 2.38–5.68 1.88–6.18 | 7.62 4.08–11.15 3.04–12.19 | 36% 15% 49% |
| Corners | 5.25 3.04–7.46 2.46–8.04 | 5.68 3.68–7.68 3.15–8.22 | 10.93 6.72–15.15 5.61–16.25 | 39% 49% |
| Possession % | 48.70 41.91–55.49 40.24–57.16 | 51.37 44.59–58.16 42.91–59.83 | — | 41% 54% |
| Passes | 441 374–509 356–527 | 474 407–540 390–558 | 915 782–1049 746–1085 | 39% 60% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.62 61.59–69.65 60.30–70.94 | 71.17 66.85–75.49 65.54–76.80 | — | 22% 74% |
| Fouls | 10.59 7.75–13.43 7.00–14.19 | 12.82 9.87–15.76 9.12–16.51 | 23.41 17.63–29.19 16.12–30.70 | 29% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.70–3.02 0.40–3.33 | 2.30 1.21–3.39 0.92–3.68 | 4.16 1.91–6.42 1.32–7.01 | 32% 20% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 1.66 0.61–2.71 0.34–2.98 | 1.86 0.73–2.99 0.44–3.28 | 3.52 1.34–5.69 0.78–6.25 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.36 1.92–4.80 1.54–5.18 | 2.83 1.28–4.39 0.85–4.81 | 6.19 3.20–9.19 2.39–10.00 | 50% 16% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+