Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
22%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction0.991.922.91safe0.03–1.961.06–2.771.09–4.73safer0.00–2.210.83–3.000.61–5.21
Shots on target
22%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction3.715.569.27safe1.84–5.573.82–7.305.66–12.87safer1.35–6.063.35–7.774.70–13.83
Total shots
21%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5615.1526.71safe7.64–15.4911.59–18.7119.23–34.20safer6.55–16.5810.63–19.6717.17–36.25
Shots in box
19%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction7.0210.0817.10safe4.08–9.967.40–12.7611.48–22.72safer3.25–10.796.66–13.509.91–24.29
Blocked shots
33%
14%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.524.207.72safe1.64–5.402.55–5.854.18–11.25safer1.09–5.952.05–6.343.15–12.29
Corners
27%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction4.395.8410.23safe2.17–6.603.84–7.846.01–14.44safer1.60–7.173.31–8.384.91–15.55
Possession %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction42.1458.44safe35.35–48.9351.66–65.23safer33.68–50.6049.98–66.90
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction400547948safe333–468481–614814–1081safer315–486463–631778–1117
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction62.3175.44safe58.28–66.3471.12–79.76safer56.99–67.6469.81–81.07
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6913.3825.07safe8.85–14.5310.44–16.3319.29–30.86safer8.10–15.299.69–17.0817.79–32.36
Offsides
29%
22%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.993.47safe0.32–2.640.90–3.081.22–5.72safer0.02–2.940.61–3.370.63–6.31
Yellow cards
37%
21%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.952.084.03safe0.90–3.000.95–3.211.85–6.21safer0.63–3.260.66–3.501.29–6.77
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.120.21safe0.00–0.260.00–0.310.00–0.56safer0.00–0.410.00–0.440.00–0.84
GK saves
55%
16%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.472.676.14safe2.03–4.911.12–4.233.15–9.13safer1.65–5.290.69–4.652.34–9.95
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.99 0.03–1.96 0.00–2.21 | 1.92 1.06–2.77 0.83–3.00 | 2.91 1.09–4.73 0.61–5.21 | 19% 22% 59% |
| Shots on target | 3.71 1.84–5.57 1.35–6.06 | 5.56 3.82–7.30 3.35–7.77 | 9.27 5.66–12.87 4.70–13.83 | 22% 67% |
| Total shots | 11.56 7.64–15.49 6.55–16.58 | 15.15 11.59–18.71 10.63–19.67 | 26.71 19.23–34.20 17.17–36.25 | 21% 72% |
| Shots in box | 7.02 4.08–9.96 3.25–10.79 | 10.08 7.40–12.76 6.66–13.50 | 17.10 11.48–22.72 9.91–24.29 | 19% 73% |
| Blocked shots | 3.52 1.64–5.40 1.09–5.95 | 4.20 2.55–5.85 2.05–6.34 | 7.72 4.18–11.25 3.15–12.29 | 33% 14% 52% |
| Corners | 4.39 2.17–6.60 1.60–7.17 | 5.84 3.84–7.84 3.31–8.38 | 10.23 6.01–14.44 4.91–15.55 | 27% 62% |
| Possession % | 42.14 35.35–48.93 33.68–50.60 | 58.44 51.66–65.23 49.98–66.90 | — | 15% 82% |
| Passes | 400 333–468 315–486 | 547 481–614 463–631 | 948 814–1081 778–1117 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.31 58.28–66.34 56.99–67.64 | 75.44 71.12–79.76 69.81–81.07 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 11.69 8.85–14.53 8.10–15.29 | 13.38 10.44–16.33 9.69–17.08 | 25.07 19.29–30.86 17.79–32.36 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.48 0.32–2.64 0.02–2.94 | 1.99 0.90–3.08 0.61–3.37 | 3.47 1.22–5.72 0.63–6.31 | 29% 22% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 1.95 0.90–3.00 0.63–3.26 | 2.08 0.95–3.21 0.66–3.50 | 4.03 1.85–6.21 1.29–6.77 | 37% 21% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.47 2.03–4.91 1.65–5.29 | 2.67 1.12–4.23 0.69–4.65 | 6.14 3.15–9.13 2.34–9.95 | 55% 16% 30% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.