Predicted match statistics
Goals
69%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.260.843.11safe1.30–3.230.00–1.701.29–4.93safer1.04–3.480.00–1.930.81–5.41
Shots on target
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction6.193.299.48safe4.33–8.061.54–5.035.88–13.09safer3.84–8.551.08–5.504.92–14.04
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction16.729.6926.42safe12.80–20.656.13–13.2518.93–33.90safer11.71–21.745.17–14.2116.88–35.95
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction11.735.8117.53safe8.78–14.673.13–8.4911.91–23.16safer7.95–15.502.39–9.2210.34–24.72
Blocked shots
60%
13%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.413.227.63safe2.53–6.291.56–4.874.09–11.16safer1.98–6.831.07–5.363.06–12.20
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.813.3410.16safe4.60–9.021.34–5.345.94–14.37safer4.02–9.600.81–5.884.83–15.48
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction59.8840.57safe53.09–66.6733.79–47.36safer51.42–68.3432.12–49.03
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction598400999safe531–665334–467865–1132safer513–684316–484829–1168
Pass accuracy %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction74.7669.25safe70.73–78.7964.93–73.58safer69.44–80.0963.62–74.89
Fouls
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7011.3224.01safe9.86–15.538.37–14.2618.23–29.79safer9.10–16.297.62–15.0116.73–31.30
Offsides
49%
23%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.343.18safe0.68–3.000.25–2.430.93–5.44safer0.38–3.300.00–2.720.34–6.03
Yellow cards
28%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.492.083.57safe0.44–2.540.95–3.211.39–5.75safer0.17–2.810.66–3.500.84–6.31
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
20%
14%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction2.383.956.33safe0.94–3.812.40–5.513.34–9.32safer0.55–4.201.97–5.932.53–10.13
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.26 1.30–3.23 1.04–3.48 | 0.84 0.00–1.70 0.00–1.93 | 3.11 1.29–4.93 0.81–5.41 | 69% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.19 4.33–8.06 3.84–8.55 | 3.29 1.54–5.03 1.08–5.50 | 9.48 5.88–13.09 4.92–14.04 | 78% 13% |
| Total shots | 16.72 12.80–20.65 11.71–21.74 | 9.69 6.13–13.25 5.17–14.21 | 26.42 18.93–33.90 16.88–35.95 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 11.73 8.78–14.67 7.95–15.50 | 5.81 3.13–8.49 2.39–9.22 | 17.53 11.91–23.16 10.34–24.72 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 4.41 2.53–6.29 1.98–6.83 | 3.22 1.56–4.87 1.07–5.36 | 7.63 4.09–11.16 3.06–12.20 | 60% 13% 27% |
| Corners | 6.81 4.60–9.02 4.02–9.60 | 3.34 1.34–5.34 0.81–5.88 | 10.16 5.94–14.37 4.83–15.48 | 83% |
| Possession % | 59.88 53.09–66.67 51.42–68.34 | 40.57 33.79–47.36 32.12–49.03 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 598 531–665 513–684 | 400 334–467 316–484 | 999 865–1132 829–1168 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.76 70.73–78.79 69.44–80.09 | 69.25 64.93–73.58 63.62–74.89 | — | 74% 22% |
| Fouls | 12.70 9.86–15.53 9.10–16.29 | 11.32 8.37–14.26 7.62–15.01 | 24.01 18.23–29.79 16.73–31.30 | 57% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.84 0.68–3.00 0.38–3.30 | 1.34 0.25–2.43 0.00–2.72 | 3.18 0.93–5.44 0.34–6.03 | 49% 23% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.49 0.44–2.54 0.17–2.81 | 2.08 0.95–3.21 0.66–3.50 | 3.57 1.39–5.75 0.84–6.31 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.38 0.94–3.81 0.55–4.20 | 3.95 2.40–5.51 1.97–5.93 | 6.33 3.34–9.32 2.53–10.13 | 20% 14% 66% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.