Premiership·Regular Season - 12·
Premiership·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
63%
19%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.281.143.42safe1.31–3.250.29–1.991.59–5.24safer1.06–3.500.06–2.221.12–5.72
Shots on target
72%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.734.2911.02safe4.87–8.592.55–6.047.42–14.63safer4.38–9.082.08–6.506.46–15.58
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction17.7011.9029.61safe13.78–21.638.34–15.4622.12–37.09safer12.69–22.727.38–16.4220.07–39.14
Shots in box
77%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction11.647.8319.47safe8.70–14.585.15–10.5113.85–25.09safer7.87–15.414.41–11.2512.28–26.66
Blocked shots
63%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.733.267.99safe2.85–6.611.61–4.924.46–11.53safer2.31–7.161.12–5.413.42–12.56
Corners
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.644.5011.15safe4.43–8.862.50–6.506.93–15.36safer3.86–9.431.97–7.045.83–16.47
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction59.2640.22safe52.47–66.0533.44–47.01safer50.80–67.7231.77–48.68
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction599393993safe532–667327–460859–1126safer514–685309–477823–1162
Pass accuracy %
77%
19%
homeawayprediction77.7171.50safe73.68–81.7467.18–75.83safer72.39–83.0465.87–77.13
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5610.5722.13safe8.72–14.407.63–13.5216.35–27.92safer7.97–15.156.88–14.2714.85–29.42
Offsides
49%
23%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.363.22safe0.71–3.030.26–2.450.97–5.48safer0.41–3.330.00–2.740.38–6.07
Yellow cards
27%
22%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.953.30safe0.30–2.400.82–3.081.12–5.48safer0.04–2.670.53–3.370.56–6.03
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
25%
13%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction3.004.307.30safe1.56–4.432.75–5.864.31–10.29safer1.17–4.822.32–6.283.50–11.10
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.28 1.31–3.25 1.06–3.50 | 1.14 0.29–1.99 0.06–2.22 | 3.42 1.59–5.24 1.12–5.72 | 63% 19% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.73 4.87–8.59 4.38–9.08 | 4.29 2.55–6.04 2.08–6.50 | 11.02 7.42–14.63 6.46–15.58 | 72% 19% |
| Total shots | 17.70 13.78–21.63 12.69–22.72 | 11.90 8.34–15.46 7.38–16.42 | 29.61 22.12–37.09 20.07–39.14 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 11.64 8.70–14.58 7.87–15.41 | 7.83 5.15–10.51 4.41–11.25 | 19.47 13.85–25.09 12.28–26.66 | 77% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 4.73 2.85–6.61 2.31–7.16 | 3.26 1.61–4.92 1.12–5.41 | 7.99 4.46–11.53 3.42–12.56 | 63% 24% |
| Corners | 6.64 4.43–8.86 3.86–9.43 | 4.50 2.50–6.50 1.97–7.04 | 11.15 6.93–15.36 5.83–16.47 | 69% 21% |
| Possession % | 59.26 52.47–66.05 50.80–67.72 | 40.22 33.44–47.01 31.77–48.68 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 599 532–667 514–685 | 393 327–460 309–477 | 993 859–1126 823–1162 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.71 73.68–81.74 72.39–83.04 | 71.50 67.18–75.83 65.87–77.13 | — | 77% 19% |
| Fouls | 11.56 8.72–14.40 7.97–15.15 | 10.57 7.63–13.52 6.88–14.27 | 22.13 16.35–27.92 14.85–29.42 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.71–3.03 0.41–3.33 | 1.36 0.26–2.45 0.00–2.74 | 3.22 0.97–5.48 0.38–6.07 | 49% 23% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.35 0.30–2.40 0.04–2.67 | 1.95 0.82–3.08 0.53–3.37 | 3.30 1.12–5.48 0.56–6.03 | 27% 22% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.00 1.56–4.43 1.17–4.82 | 4.30 2.75–5.86 2.32–6.28 | 7.30 4.31–10.29 3.50–11.10 | 25% 13% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.