Premiership·Regular Season - 27·
Premiership·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
22%
21%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.182.023.20safe0.22–2.151.16–2.871.38–5.02safer0.00–2.400.93–3.100.90–5.50
Shots on target
24%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction4.416.1410.55safe2.55–6.274.40–7.886.94–14.15safer2.06–6.763.93–8.355.99–15.11
Total shots
39%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8914.8828.77safe9.96–17.8111.32–18.4421.28–36.25safer8.87–18.9010.36–19.4019.23–38.31
Shots in box
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction8.9910.4719.47safe6.05–11.947.79–13.1513.85–25.09safer5.22–12.777.06–13.8912.28–26.66
Blocked shots
38%
14%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.044.408.44safe2.16–5.922.75–6.054.91–11.98safer1.61–6.472.26–6.553.87–13.01
Corners
38%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction5.175.6710.84safe2.96–7.383.67–7.676.63–15.06safer2.38–7.963.14–8.215.52–16.16
Possession %
15%
83%
homeawayprediction41.8758.74safe35.08–48.6651.95–65.52safer33.41–50.3350.28–67.20
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction388585973safe320–455519–652839–1107safer302–473501–669804–1142
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction66.7079.05safe62.67–70.7374.72–83.37safer61.38–72.0273.41–84.68
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4011.7022.10safe7.56–13.248.76–14.6516.32–27.88safer6.81–13.998.01–15.3914.81–29.39
Offsides
33%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.963.62safe0.50–2.820.87–3.051.37–5.87safer0.20–3.120.58–3.340.78–6.46
Yellow cards
40%
24%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.553.16safe0.57–2.660.42–2.680.98–5.34safer0.30–2.930.13–2.970.43–5.90
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.070.17safe0.00–0.260.00–0.260.00–0.52safer0.00–0.410.00–0.390.00–0.80
GK saves
54%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.843.086.92safe2.40–5.271.53–4.643.93–9.91safer2.01–5.661.10–5.073.12–10.73
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.18 0.22–2.15 0.00–2.40 | 2.02 1.16–2.87 0.93–3.10 | 3.20 1.38–5.02 0.90–5.50 | 22% 21% 57% |
| Shots on target | 4.41 2.55–6.27 2.06–6.76 | 6.14 4.40–7.88 3.93–8.35 | 10.55 6.94–14.15 5.99–15.11 | 24% 65% |
| Total shots | 13.89 9.96–17.81 8.87–18.90 | 14.88 11.32–18.44 10.36–19.40 | 28.77 21.28–36.25 19.23–38.31 | 39% 54% |
| Shots in box | 8.99 6.05–11.94 5.22–12.77 | 10.47 7.79–13.15 7.06–13.89 | 19.47 13.85–25.09 12.28–26.66 | 33% 59% |
| Blocked shots | 4.04 2.16–5.92 1.61–6.47 | 4.40 2.75–6.05 2.26–6.55 | 8.44 4.91–11.98 3.87–13.01 | 38% 14% 48% |
| Corners | 5.17 2.96–7.38 2.38–7.96 | 5.67 3.67–7.67 3.14–8.21 | 10.84 6.63–15.06 5.52–16.16 | 38% 50% |
| Possession % | 41.87 35.08–48.66 33.41–50.33 | 58.74 51.95–65.52 50.28–67.20 | — | 15% 83% |
| Passes | 388 320–455 302–473 | 585 519–652 501–669 | 973 839–1107 804–1142 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.70 62.67–70.73 61.38–72.02 | 79.05 74.72–83.37 73.41–84.68 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 10.40 7.56–13.24 6.81–13.99 | 11.70 8.76–14.65 8.01–15.39 | 22.10 16.32–27.88 14.81–29.39 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 1.96 0.87–3.05 0.58–3.34 | 3.62 1.37–5.87 0.78–6.46 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.62 0.57–2.66 0.30–2.93 | 1.55 0.42–2.68 0.13–2.97 | 3.16 0.98–5.34 0.43–5.90 | 40% 24% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.84 2.40–5.27 2.01–5.66 | 3.08 1.53–4.64 1.10–5.07 | 6.92 3.93–9.91 3.12–10.73 | 54% 15% 31% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.