Premiership·Regular Season - 13·
Premiership·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
69%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.200.803.00safe1.23–3.170.00–1.661.18–4.82safer0.98–3.420.00–1.880.70–5.30
Shots on target
85%
homeawaytotalprediction6.773.029.79safe4.90–8.631.28–4.766.18–13.39safer4.41–9.120.81–5.235.23–14.35
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction18.109.0127.11safe14.18–22.035.45–12.5719.62–34.60safer13.09–23.124.49–13.5317.57–36.65
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction12.115.6317.73safe9.17–15.052.95–8.3112.11–23.36safer8.34–15.882.21–9.0510.54–24.92
Blocked shots
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.832.627.45safe2.95–6.720.96–4.273.92–10.99safer2.41–7.260.47–4.762.88–12.02
Corners
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.783.3511.13safe5.57–9.991.35–5.356.91–15.34safer4.99–10.570.81–5.885.81–16.45
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction61.8337.88safe55.04–68.6231.10–44.67safer53.37–70.2929.43–46.34
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction617363980safe550–684296–429846–1113safer532–702279–447810–1149
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction76.1566.57safe72.12–80.1862.24–70.89safer70.83–81.4760.93–72.20
Fouls
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6810.3322.01safe8.84–14.527.38–13.2716.22–27.79safer8.08–15.276.63–14.0214.72–29.29
Offsides
54%
22%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.961.253.21safe0.80–3.120.16–2.340.96–5.46safer0.50–3.420.00–2.630.37–6.05
Yellow cards
29%
23%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.773.12safe0.29–2.390.64–2.900.94–5.29safer0.03–2.660.35–3.190.38–5.85
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
15%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.194.256.43safe0.75–3.622.69–5.803.44–9.42safer0.36–4.012.26–6.232.63–10.24
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.20 1.23–3.17 0.98–3.42 | 0.80 0.00–1.66 0.00–1.88 | 3.00 1.18–4.82 0.70–5.30 | 69% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.77 4.90–8.63 4.41–9.12 | 3.02 1.28–4.76 0.81–5.23 | 9.79 6.18–13.39 5.23–14.35 | 85% |
| Total shots | 18.10 14.18–22.03 13.09–23.12 | 9.01 5.45–12.57 4.49–13.53 | 27.11 19.62–34.60 17.57–36.65 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 12.11 9.17–15.05 8.34–15.88 | 5.63 2.95–8.31 2.21–9.05 | 17.73 12.11–23.36 10.54–24.92 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 4.83 2.95–6.72 2.41–7.26 | 2.62 0.96–4.27 0.47–4.76 | 7.45 3.92–10.99 2.88–12.02 | 74% 16% |
| Corners | 7.78 5.57–9.99 4.99–10.57 | 3.35 1.35–5.35 0.81–5.88 | 11.13 6.91–15.34 5.81–16.45 | 88% |
| Possession % | 61.83 55.04–68.62 53.37–70.29 | 37.88 31.10–44.67 29.43–46.34 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 617 550–684 532–702 | 363 296–429 279–447 | 980 846–1113 810–1149 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.15 72.12–80.18 70.83–81.47 | 66.57 62.24–70.89 60.93–72.20 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 11.68 8.84–14.52 8.08–15.27 | 10.33 7.38–13.27 6.63–14.02 | 22.01 16.22–27.79 14.72–29.29 | 57% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.96 0.80–3.12 0.50–3.42 | 1.25 0.16–2.34 0.00–2.63 | 3.21 0.96–5.46 0.37–6.05 | 54% 22% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.34 0.29–2.39 0.03–2.66 | 1.77 0.64–2.90 0.35–3.19 | 3.12 0.94–5.29 0.38–5.85 | 29% 23% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.19 0.75–3.62 0.36–4.01 | 4.25 2.69–5.80 2.26–6.23 | 6.43 3.44–9.42 2.63–10.24 | 15% 73% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.