Premiership·Regular Season - 32·
Premiership·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
19%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction0.952.243.19safe0.00–1.921.38–3.091.37–5.01safer0.00–2.171.15–3.320.89–5.49
Shots on target
16%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction3.626.189.80safe1.75–5.484.44–7.926.19–13.40safer1.27–5.973.97–8.395.24–14.36
Total shots
14%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5716.7928.36safe7.64–15.4913.23–20.3520.87–35.85safer6.55–16.5812.27–21.3118.82–37.90
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.9611.3118.26safe4.01–9.908.63–13.9912.64–23.89safer3.18–10.737.89–14.7311.07–25.45
Blocked shots
24%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction3.264.727.98safe1.37–5.143.07–6.384.45–11.52safer0.83–5.682.58–6.873.41–12.55
Corners
23%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction4.256.0810.34safe2.04–6.474.08–8.086.12–14.55safer1.47–7.043.55–8.625.02–15.66
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction38.0062.15safe31.21–44.7955.37–68.94safer29.54–46.4653.69–70.61
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction368583951safe301–436517–649818–1085safer283–454499–667782–1121
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction63.4277.96safe59.39–67.4573.63–82.28safer58.10–68.7472.32–83.59
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2112.4723.68safe8.38–14.059.52–15.4117.90–29.46safer7.62–14.818.77–16.1616.39–30.97
Offsides
26%
20%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.502.233.73safe0.34–2.661.14–3.321.47–5.98safer0.03–2.960.85–3.610.88–6.57
Yellow cards
44%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.713.66safe0.89–2.990.58–2.841.48–5.83safer0.63–3.260.29–3.130.92–6.39
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.100.21safe0.00–0.270.00–0.290.00–0.56safer0.00–0.420.00–0.420.00–0.84
GK saves
60%
15%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.672.536.21safe2.24–5.110.98–4.093.21–9.20safer1.85–5.500.55–4.512.40–10.01
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.95 0.00–1.92 0.00–2.17 | 2.24 1.38–3.09 1.15–3.32 | 3.19 1.37–5.01 0.89–5.49 | 15% 19% 66% |
| Shots on target | 3.62 1.75–5.48 1.27–5.97 | 6.18 4.44–7.92 3.97–8.39 | 9.80 6.19–13.40 5.24–14.36 | 16% 75% |
| Total shots | 11.57 7.64–15.49 6.55–16.58 | 16.79 13.23–20.35 12.27–21.31 | 28.36 20.87–35.85 18.82–37.90 | 14% 81% |
| Shots in box | 6.96 4.01–9.90 3.18–10.73 | 11.31 8.63–13.99 7.89–14.73 | 18.26 12.64–23.89 11.07–25.45 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 3.26 1.37–5.14 0.83–5.68 | 4.72 3.07–6.38 2.58–6.87 | 7.98 4.45–11.52 3.41–12.55 | 24% 63% |
| Corners | 4.25 2.04–6.47 1.47–7.04 | 6.08 4.08–8.08 3.55–8.62 | 10.34 6.12–14.55 5.02–15.66 | 23% 66% |
| Possession % | 38.00 31.21–44.79 29.54–46.46 | 62.15 55.37–68.94 53.69–70.61 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 368 301–436 283–454 | 583 517–649 499–667 | 951 818–1085 782–1121 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.42 59.39–67.45 58.10–68.74 | 77.96 73.63–82.28 72.32–83.59 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 11.21 8.38–14.05 7.62–14.81 | 12.47 9.52–15.41 8.77–16.16 | 23.68 17.90–29.46 16.39–30.97 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.50 0.34–2.66 0.03–2.96 | 2.23 1.14–3.32 0.85–3.61 | 3.73 1.47–5.98 0.88–6.57 | 26% 20% 54% |
| Yellow cards | 1.94 0.89–2.99 0.63–3.26 | 1.71 0.58–2.84 0.29–3.13 | 3.66 1.48–5.83 0.92–6.39 | 44% 22% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.67 2.24–5.11 1.85–5.50 | 2.53 0.98–4.09 0.55–4.51 | 6.21 3.21–9.20 2.40–10.01 | 60% 15% 25% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.