Premiership·Regular Season - 13·
Premiership·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
25%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.392.89safe0.53–2.470.53–2.241.07–4.71safer0.28–2.720.31–2.470.59–5.19
Shots on target
44%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction5.115.0610.17safe3.25–6.973.32–6.816.57–13.78safer2.76–7.462.86–7.275.61–14.73
Total shots
50%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9214.4029.32safe11.00–18.8510.84–17.9621.84–36.81safer9.90–19.949.88–18.9219.78–38.86
Shots in box
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction10.228.9919.21safe7.28–13.166.31–11.6713.58–24.83safer6.45–13.995.57–12.4112.02–26.40
Blocked shots
48%
14%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.233.838.06safe2.35–6.112.18–5.494.53–11.60safer1.80–6.661.69–5.983.49–12.63
Corners
48%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction5.715.3711.09safe3.50–7.933.37–7.376.87–15.30safer2.93–8.502.84–7.905.77–16.41
Possession %
21%
76%
homeawayprediction43.6256.50safe36.83–50.4149.71–63.28safer35.16–52.0848.04–64.96
Passes
15%
85%
homeawaytotalprediction400524925safe333–468458–591791–1058safer315–486441–608755–1094
Pass accuracy %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction71.4177.40safe67.38–75.4473.07–81.72safer66.09–76.7371.76–83.03
Fouls
37%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6111.6122.23safe7.78–13.458.67–14.5616.45–28.01safer7.02–14.217.92–15.3114.94–29.52
Offsides
48%
23%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.353.16safe0.65–2.970.26–2.440.91–5.42safer0.35–3.270.00–2.730.32–6.01
Yellow cards
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.833.47safe0.60–2.690.70–2.961.30–5.65safer0.33–2.960.41–3.250.74–6.21
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
41%
16%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.403.456.85safe1.96–4.841.90–5.013.86–9.84safer1.58–5.221.47–5.433.05–10.66
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.50 0.53–2.47 0.28–2.72 | 1.39 0.53–2.24 0.31–2.47 | 2.89 1.07–4.71 0.59–5.19 | 40% 25% 35% |
| Shots on target | 5.11 3.25–6.97 2.76–7.46 | 5.06 3.32–6.81 2.86–7.27 | 10.17 6.57–13.78 5.61–14.73 | 44% 43% |
| Total shots | 14.92 11.00–18.85 9.90–19.94 | 14.40 10.84–17.96 9.88–18.92 | 29.32 21.84–36.81 19.78–38.86 | 50% 43% |
| Shots in box | 10.22 7.28–13.16 6.45–13.99 | 8.99 6.31–11.67 5.57–12.41 | 19.21 13.58–24.83 12.02–26.40 | 57% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 4.23 2.35–6.11 1.80–6.66 | 3.83 2.18–5.49 1.69–5.98 | 8.06 4.53–11.60 3.49–12.63 | 48% 14% 37% |
| Corners | 5.71 3.50–7.93 2.93–8.50 | 5.37 3.37–7.37 2.84–7.90 | 11.09 6.87–15.30 5.77–16.41 | 48% 40% |
| Possession % | 43.62 36.83–50.41 35.16–52.08 | 56.50 49.71–63.28 48.04–64.96 | — | 21% 76% |
| Passes | 400 333–468 315–486 | 524 458–591 441–608 | 925 791–1058 755–1094 | 15% 85% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.41 67.38–75.44 66.09–76.73 | 77.40 73.07–81.72 71.76–83.03 | — | 20% 76% |
| Fouls | 10.61 7.78–13.45 7.02–14.21 | 11.61 8.67–14.56 7.92–15.31 | 22.23 16.45–28.01 14.94–29.52 | 37% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.35–3.27 | 1.35 0.26–2.44 0.00–2.73 | 3.16 0.91–5.42 0.32–6.01 | 48% 23% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.65 0.60–2.69 0.33–2.96 | 1.83 0.70–2.96 0.41–3.25 | 3.47 1.30–5.65 0.74–6.21 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.40 1.96–4.84 1.58–5.22 | 3.45 1.90–5.01 1.47–5.43 | 6.85 3.86–9.84 3.05–10.66 | 41% 16% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+