Premiership·Regular Season - 24·
Premiership·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
24%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.222.96safe0.77–2.700.37–2.081.14–4.78safer0.52–2.950.14–2.310.66–5.26
Shots on target
55%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.534.6010.13safe3.67–7.392.85–6.346.52–13.73safer3.18–7.882.39–6.805.57–14.69
Total shots
76%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction17.5213.1130.63safe13.60–21.459.55–16.6723.14–38.12safer12.51–22.548.59–17.6321.09–40.17
Shots in box
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction10.298.9419.23safe7.35–13.246.25–11.6213.61–24.85safer6.52–14.075.52–12.3512.04–26.42
Blocked shots
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.274.079.34safe3.39–7.152.42–5.735.81–12.88safer2.84–7.691.93–6.224.77–13.91
Corners
66%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.564.6611.22safe4.34–8.772.66–6.667.01–15.43safer3.77–9.342.13–7.195.90–16.54
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction59.0940.38safe52.30–65.8833.60–47.17safer50.63–67.5531.93–48.84
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction560380939safe492–627313–446805–1073safer474–645296–464770–1108
Pass accuracy %
67%
29%
homeawayprediction76.7872.95safe72.75–80.8168.62–77.27safer71.46–82.1067.32–78.58
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2111.2222.42safe8.37–14.048.27–14.1616.64–28.21safer7.61–14.807.53–14.9115.14–29.71
Offsides
37%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.523.01safe0.33–2.650.42–2.610.75–5.26safer0.03–2.950.13–2.900.16–5.85
Yellow cards
32%
23%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.743.17safe0.38–2.480.61–2.870.99–5.35safer0.12–2.750.32–3.160.43–5.91
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
35%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.993.486.47safe1.56–4.431.92–5.033.48–9.46safer1.17–4.821.50–5.462.67–10.28
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.74 0.77–2.70 0.52–2.95 | 1.22 0.37–2.08 0.14–2.31 | 2.96 1.14–4.78 0.66–5.26 | 49% 24% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.53 3.67–7.39 3.18–7.88 | 4.60 2.85–6.34 2.39–6.80 | 10.13 6.52–13.73 5.57–14.69 | 55% 32% |
| Total shots | 17.52 13.60–21.45 12.51–22.54 | 13.11 9.55–16.67 8.59–17.63 | 30.63 23.14–38.12 21.09–40.17 | 76% 19% |
| Shots in box | 10.29 7.35–13.24 6.52–14.07 | 8.94 6.25–11.62 5.52–12.35 | 19.23 13.61–24.85 12.04–26.42 | 58% 34% |
| Blocked shots | 5.27 3.39–7.15 2.84–7.69 | 4.07 2.42–5.73 1.93–6.22 | 9.34 5.81–12.88 4.77–13.91 | 59% 29% |
| Corners | 6.56 4.34–8.77 3.77–9.34 | 4.66 2.66–6.66 2.13–7.19 | 11.22 7.01–15.43 5.90–16.54 | 66% 24% |
| Possession % | 59.09 52.30–65.88 50.63–67.55 | 40.38 33.60–47.17 31.93–48.84 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 560 492–627 474–645 | 380 313–446 296–464 | 939 805–1073 770–1108 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.78 72.75–80.81 71.46–82.10 | 72.95 68.62–77.27 67.32–78.58 | — | 67% 29% |
| Fouls | 11.21 8.37–14.04 7.61–14.80 | 11.22 8.27–14.16 7.53–14.91 | 22.42 16.64–28.21 15.14–29.71 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.49 0.33–2.65 0.03–2.95 | 1.52 0.42–2.61 0.13–2.90 | 3.01 0.75–5.26 0.16–5.85 | 37% 24% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.43 0.38–2.48 0.12–2.75 | 1.74 0.61–2.87 0.32–3.16 | 3.17 0.99–5.35 0.43–5.91 | 32% 23% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.99 1.56–4.43 1.17–4.82 | 3.48 1.92–5.03 1.50–5.46 | 6.47 3.48–9.46 2.67–10.28 | 35% 16% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+