Premiership·Regular Season - 13·
Premiership·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
27%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.172.49safe0.35–2.290.31–2.020.67–4.31safer0.10–2.540.09–2.250.19–4.79
Shots on target
59%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.843.638.47safe2.97–6.701.89–5.374.86–12.07safer2.48–7.191.42–5.843.91–13.03
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction16.3310.4926.82safe12.41–20.266.93–14.0519.34–34.31safer11.32–21.355.97–15.0117.29–36.36
Shots in box
70%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction9.677.0416.71safe6.73–12.614.36–9.7211.08–22.33safer5.90–13.443.62–10.469.52–23.90
Blocked shots
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.752.957.70safe2.86–6.631.30–4.604.16–11.23safer2.32–7.170.81–5.103.13–12.27
Corners
55%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.694.7510.44safe3.48–7.902.75–6.756.22–14.65safer2.90–8.482.21–7.285.12–15.76
Possession %
78%
19%
homeawayprediction57.3543.39safe50.56–64.1436.60–50.17safer48.89–65.8134.93–51.85
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction512375887safe444–579309–442753–1020safer426–597291–459717–1056
Pass accuracy %
59%
36%
homeawayprediction68.8466.55safe64.81–72.8762.23–70.88safer63.52–74.1660.92–72.19
Fouls
44%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8112.0123.82safe8.98–14.659.06–14.9518.04–29.61safer8.22–15.418.32–15.7016.54–31.11
Offsides
46%
22%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.523.38safe0.71–3.030.42–2.611.13–5.64safer0.41–3.330.13–2.900.54–6.23
Yellow cards
36%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.773.43safe0.61–2.700.64–2.901.25–5.60safer0.34–2.970.35–3.190.69–6.16
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
26%
16%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.383.435.81safe0.94–3.811.88–4.992.82–8.80safer0.55–4.201.45–5.412.00–9.61
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.32 0.35–2.29 0.10–2.54 | 1.17 0.31–2.02 0.09–2.25 | 2.49 0.67–4.31 0.19–4.79 | 40% 27% 33% |
| Shots on target | 4.84 2.97–6.70 2.48–7.19 | 3.63 1.89–5.37 1.42–5.84 | 8.47 4.86–12.07 3.91–13.03 | 59% 28% |
| Total shots | 16.33 12.41–20.26 11.32–21.35 | 10.49 6.93–14.05 5.97–15.01 | 26.82 19.34–34.31 17.29–36.36 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 9.67 6.73–12.61 5.90–13.44 | 7.04 4.36–9.72 3.62–10.46 | 16.71 11.08–22.33 9.52–23.90 | 70% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 4.75 2.86–6.63 2.32–7.17 | 2.95 1.30–4.60 0.81–5.10 | 7.70 4.16–11.23 3.13–12.27 | 68% 20% |
| Corners | 5.69 3.48–7.90 2.90–8.48 | 4.75 2.75–6.75 2.21–7.28 | 10.44 6.22–14.65 5.12–15.76 | 55% 33% |
| Possession % | 57.35 50.56–64.14 48.89–65.81 | 43.39 36.60–50.17 34.93–51.85 | — | 78% 19% |
| Passes | 512 444–579 426–597 | 375 309–442 291–459 | 887 753–1020 717–1056 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.84 64.81–72.87 63.52–74.16 | 66.55 62.23–70.88 60.92–72.19 | — | 59% 36% |
| Fouls | 11.81 8.98–14.65 8.22–15.41 | 12.01 9.06–14.95 8.32–15.70 | 23.82 18.04–29.61 16.54–31.11 | 44% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.71–3.03 0.41–3.33 | 1.52 0.42–2.61 0.13–2.90 | 3.38 1.13–5.64 0.54–6.23 | 46% 22% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.65 0.61–2.70 0.34–2.97 | 1.77 0.64–2.90 0.35–3.19 | 3.43 1.25–5.60 0.69–6.16 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.38 0.94–3.81 0.55–4.20 | 3.43 1.88–4.99 1.45–5.41 | 5.81 2.82–8.80 2.00–9.61 | 26% 16% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.