Premiership·Regular Season - 14·
Premiership·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
27%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.072.50safe0.46–2.390.21–1.920.67–4.32safer0.21–2.650.00–2.150.19–4.80
Shots on target
55%
13%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.593.728.31safe2.73–6.451.98–5.474.71–11.92safer2.24–6.941.51–5.933.75–12.88
Total shots
69%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8710.9324.81safe9.95–17.807.37–14.5017.32–32.29safer8.86–18.896.41–15.4615.27–34.35
Shots in box
69%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction9.316.8016.11safe6.37–12.254.12–9.4810.48–21.73safer5.54–13.083.38–10.218.92–23.30
Blocked shots
54%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.853.066.91safe1.97–5.741.41–4.713.38–10.45safer1.43–6.280.91–5.202.34–11.48
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.764.049.80safe3.54–7.972.04–6.045.59–14.01safer2.97–8.541.51–6.584.48–15.12
Possession %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction49.3850.72safe42.58–56.1743.94–57.51safer40.92–57.8442.27–59.18
Passes
53%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction452441892safe384–519374–507759–1026safer366–537357–525723–1062
Pass accuracy %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction65.2868.18safe61.25–69.3163.85–72.50safer59.95–70.6062.54–73.81
Fouls
39%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1914.1927.38safe10.36–16.0311.25–17.1321.60–33.17safer9.60–16.7910.50–17.8820.10–34.67
Offsides
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.623.23safe0.45–2.770.53–2.720.98–5.48safer0.14–3.070.24–3.010.39–6.07
Yellow cards
35%
20%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.942.224.16safe0.89–2.991.09–3.351.98–6.34safer0.62–3.250.80–3.641.42–6.89
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.120.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.310.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.440.00–0.84
GK saves
30%
16%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.643.416.05safe1.20–4.081.86–4.973.06–9.04safer0.82–4.461.43–5.392.25–9.86
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.43 0.46–2.39 0.21–2.65 | 1.07 0.21–1.92 0.00–2.15 | 2.50 0.67–4.32 0.19–4.80 | 45% 27% 28% |
| Shots on target | 4.59 2.73–6.45 2.24–6.94 | 3.72 1.98–5.47 1.51–5.93 | 8.31 4.71–11.92 3.75–12.88 | 55% 13% 32% |
| Total shots | 13.87 9.95–17.80 8.86–18.89 | 10.93 7.37–14.50 6.41–15.46 | 24.81 17.32–32.29 15.27–34.35 | 69% 24% |
| Shots in box | 9.31 6.37–12.25 5.54–13.08 | 6.80 4.12–9.48 3.38–10.21 | 16.11 10.48–21.73 8.92–23.30 | 69% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 3.85 1.97–5.74 1.43–6.28 | 3.06 1.41–4.71 0.91–5.20 | 6.91 3.38–10.45 2.34–11.48 | 54% 15% 31% |
| Corners | 5.76 3.54–7.97 2.97–8.54 | 4.04 2.04–6.04 1.51–6.58 | 9.80 5.59–14.01 4.48–15.12 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 49.38 42.58–56.17 40.92–57.84 | 50.72 43.94–57.51 42.27–59.18 | — | 44% 51% |
| Passes | 452 384–519 366–537 | 441 374–507 357–525 | 892 759–1026 723–1062 | 53% 46% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.28 61.25–69.31 59.95–70.60 | 68.18 63.85–72.50 62.54–73.81 | — | 33% 62% |
| Fouls | 13.19 10.36–16.03 9.60–16.79 | 14.19 11.25–17.13 10.50–17.88 | 27.38 21.60–33.17 20.10–34.67 | 39% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.61 0.45–2.77 0.14–3.07 | 1.62 0.53–2.72 0.24–3.01 | 3.23 0.98–5.48 0.39–6.07 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.94 0.89–2.99 0.62–3.25 | 2.22 1.09–3.35 0.80–3.64 | 4.16 1.98–6.34 1.42–6.89 | 35% 20% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.64 1.20–4.08 0.82–4.46 | 3.41 1.86–4.97 1.43–5.39 | 6.05 3.06–9.04 2.25–9.86 | 30% 16% 54% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.