Premiership·Regular Season - 16·
Premiership·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
26%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.121.502.62safe0.15–2.090.65–2.360.80–4.44safer0.00–2.340.42–2.580.32–4.92
Shots on target
29%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction3.714.828.53safe1.85–5.573.08–6.564.92–12.14safer1.36–6.062.61–7.033.97–13.09
Total shots
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4914.1425.63safe7.57–15.4210.57–17.7018.14–33.12safer6.48–16.519.62–18.6616.09–35.17
Shots in box
23%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction6.729.1615.88safe3.77–9.666.48–11.8410.25–21.50safer2.94–10.495.74–12.588.69–23.07
Blocked shots
31%
15%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.893.656.55safe1.01–4.782.00–5.313.01–10.08safer0.47–5.321.51–5.801.98–11.12
Corners
34%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction5.015.8710.87safe2.79–7.223.87–7.876.66–15.09safer2.22–7.793.34–8.405.55–16.20
Possession %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction44.7655.72safe37.97–51.5548.93–62.50safer36.30–53.2247.26–64.17
Passes
26%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction396472868safe329–463405–538734–1002safer311–482388–556699–1037
Pass accuracy %
15%
81%
homeawayprediction64.0971.48safe60.06–68.1267.15–75.80safer58.77–69.4165.84–77.11
Fouls
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5113.5425.05safe8.67–14.3510.59–16.4819.26–30.83safer7.92–15.109.84–17.2317.76–32.33
Offsides
36%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.922.114.03safe0.76–3.081.01–3.201.77–6.28safer0.46–3.380.73–3.491.19–6.87
Yellow cards
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.812.033.84safe0.76–2.860.90–3.161.66–6.02safer0.49–3.120.61–3.451.10–6.58
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.110.22safe0.00–0.270.00–0.300.00–0.57safer0.00–0.420.00–0.430.00–0.85
GK saves
49%
17%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.112.665.78safe1.68–4.551.11–4.222.78–8.77safer1.29–4.940.68–4.651.97–9.58
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.12 0.15–2.09 0.00–2.34 | 1.50 0.65–2.36 0.42–2.58 | 2.62 0.80–4.44 0.32–4.92 | 28% 26% 46% |
| Shots on target | 3.71 1.85–5.57 1.36–6.06 | 4.82 3.08–6.56 2.61–7.03 | 8.53 4.92–12.14 3.97–13.09 | 29% 58% |
| Total shots | 11.49 7.57–15.42 6.48–16.51 | 14.14 10.57–17.70 9.62–18.66 | 25.63 18.14–33.12 16.09–35.17 | 27% 66% |
| Shots in box | 6.72 3.77–9.66 2.94–10.49 | 9.16 6.48–11.84 5.74–12.58 | 15.88 10.25–21.50 8.69–23.07 | 23% 69% |
| Blocked shots | 2.89 1.01–4.78 0.47–5.32 | 3.65 2.00–5.31 1.51–5.80 | 6.55 3.01–10.08 1.98–11.12 | 31% 15% 54% |
| Corners | 5.01 2.79–7.22 2.22–7.79 | 5.87 3.87–7.87 3.34–8.40 | 10.87 6.66–15.09 5.55–16.20 | 34% 54% |
| Possession % | 44.76 37.97–51.55 36.30–53.22 | 55.72 48.93–62.50 47.26–64.17 | — | 24% 72% |
| Passes | 396 329–463 311–482 | 472 405–538 388–556 | 868 734–1002 699–1037 | 26% 73% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.09 60.06–68.12 58.77–69.41 | 71.48 67.15–75.80 65.84–77.11 | — | 15% 81% |
| Fouls | 11.51 8.67–14.35 7.92–15.10 | 13.54 10.59–16.48 9.84–17.23 | 25.05 19.26–30.83 17.76–32.33 | 31% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.92 0.76–3.08 0.46–3.38 | 2.11 1.01–3.20 0.73–3.49 | 4.03 1.77–6.28 1.19–6.87 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.81 0.76–2.86 0.49–3.12 | 2.03 0.90–3.16 0.61–3.45 | 3.84 1.66–6.02 1.10–6.58 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.11 1.68–4.55 1.29–4.94 | 2.66 1.11–4.22 0.68–4.65 | 5.78 2.78–8.77 1.97–9.58 | 49% 17% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+