Premiership·Regular Season - 17·
Premiership·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.390.833.21safe1.42–3.350.00–1.681.39–5.04safer1.17–3.600.00–1.910.91–5.52
Shots on target
86%
homeawaytotalprediction6.883.049.93safe5.02–8.751.30–4.796.32–13.53safer4.53–9.230.83–5.255.37–14.49
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction17.488.8826.37safe13.56–21.415.32–12.4418.88–33.85safer12.47–22.504.36–13.4016.83–35.90
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction12.425.4317.85safe9.48–15.362.75–8.1112.23–23.48safer8.65–16.192.01–8.8510.66–25.04
Blocked shots
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.752.827.57safe2.87–6.641.16–4.474.03–11.10safer2.33–7.180.67–4.963.00–12.14
Corners
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.283.0410.33safe5.07–9.501.04–5.046.11–14.54safer4.50–10.070.51–5.575.00–15.65
Possession %
84%
14%
homeawayprediction58.9241.30safe52.13–65.7134.51–48.08safer50.46–67.3832.84–49.76
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction6244171040safe556–691350–483907–1174safer538–709333–501871–1210
Pass accuracy %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction75.6169.83safe71.58–79.6465.51–74.15safer70.28–80.9364.20–75.46
Fouls
63%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction11.909.8421.75safe9.07–14.746.90–12.7915.97–27.53safer8.31–15.506.15–13.5414.46–29.03
Offsides
50%
23%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.243.01safe0.61–2.930.14–2.330.75–5.26safer0.31–3.230.00–2.620.16–5.85
Yellow cards
29%
24%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.652.90safe0.20–2.300.52–2.780.72–5.08safer0.00–2.560.23–3.070.17–5.64
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
15%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.334.446.77safe0.89–3.762.89–6.003.78–9.76safer0.50–4.152.46–6.422.97–10.58
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.39 1.42–3.35 1.17–3.60 | 0.83 0.00–1.68 0.00–1.91 | 3.21 1.39–5.04 0.91–5.52 | 72% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.88 5.02–8.75 4.53–9.23 | 3.04 1.30–4.79 0.83–5.25 | 9.93 6.32–13.53 5.37–14.49 | 86% |
| Total shots | 17.48 13.56–21.41 12.47–22.50 | 8.88 5.32–12.44 4.36–13.40 | 26.37 18.88–33.85 16.83–35.90 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 12.42 9.48–15.36 8.65–16.19 | 5.43 2.75–8.11 2.01–8.85 | 17.85 12.23–23.48 10.66–25.04 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 4.75 2.87–6.64 2.33–7.18 | 2.82 1.16–4.47 0.67–4.96 | 7.57 4.03–11.10 3.00–12.14 | 70% 18% |
| Corners | 7.28 5.07–9.50 4.50–10.07 | 3.04 1.04–5.04 0.51–5.57 | 10.33 6.11–14.54 5.00–15.65 | 88% |
| Possession % | 58.92 52.13–65.71 50.46–67.38 | 41.30 34.51–48.08 32.84–49.76 | — | 84% 14% |
| Passes | 624 556–691 538–709 | 417 350–483 333–501 | 1040 907–1174 871–1210 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.61 71.58–79.64 70.28–80.93 | 69.83 65.51–74.15 64.20–75.46 | — | 75% 21% |
| Fouls | 11.90 9.07–14.74 8.31–15.50 | 9.84 6.90–12.79 6.15–13.54 | 21.75 15.97–27.53 14.46–29.03 | 63% 29% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.61–2.93 0.31–3.23 | 1.24 0.14–2.33 0.00–2.62 | 3.01 0.75–5.26 0.16–5.85 | 50% 23% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.25 0.20–2.30 0.00–2.56 | 1.65 0.52–2.78 0.23–3.07 | 2.90 0.72–5.08 0.17–5.64 | 29% 24% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.33 0.89–3.76 0.50–4.15 | 4.44 2.89–6.00 2.46–6.42 | 6.77 3.78–9.76 2.97–10.58 | 15% 73% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.