Premiership·Regular Season - 18·
Premiership·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
22%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.063.00safe0.98–2.910.21–1.921.18–4.83safer0.72–3.160.00–2.140.70–5.31
Shots on target
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.954.2410.19safe4.09–7.812.50–5.986.59–13.80safer3.60–8.302.03–6.455.63–14.75
Total shots
76%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction16.0711.7927.86safe12.15–19.998.23–15.3520.37–35.35safer11.05–21.097.27–16.3118.32–37.40
Shots in box
78%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction11.677.7119.38safe8.73–14.615.03–10.3913.76–25.00safer7.90–15.444.29–11.1312.19–26.57
Blocked shots
61%
13%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.453.167.61safe2.56–6.331.51–4.814.07–11.14safer2.02–6.871.02–5.313.04–12.18
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.254.5010.74safe4.04–8.462.50–6.506.53–14.96safer3.46–9.041.96–7.035.42–16.06
Possession %
59%
36%
homeawayprediction52.1147.12safe45.32–58.9040.34–53.91safer43.65–60.5738.67–55.58
Passes
67%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction484429912safe416–551362–495779–1046safer398–569345–513743–1082
Pass accuracy %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction73.6371.16safe69.60–77.6666.83–75.48safer68.31–78.9565.52–76.79
Fouls
45%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4911.5323.01safe8.65–14.328.58–14.4717.23–28.80safer7.89–15.087.83–15.2215.73–30.30
Offsides
53%
22%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.253.18safe0.76–3.080.16–2.350.92–5.43safer0.46–3.380.00–2.640.33–6.02
Yellow cards
30%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.602.073.67safe0.55–2.650.94–3.191.49–5.85safer0.29–2.920.65–3.490.93–6.40
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
29%
15%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.953.866.81safe1.51–4.382.31–5.423.82–9.80safer1.12–4.771.88–5.843.00–10.61
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.94 0.98–2.91 0.72–3.16 | 1.06 0.21–1.92 0.00–2.14 | 3.00 1.18–4.83 0.70–5.31 | 58% 22% 20% |
| Shots on target | 5.95 4.09–7.81 3.60–8.30 | 4.24 2.50–5.98 2.03–6.45 | 10.19 6.59–13.80 5.63–14.75 | 65% 24% |
| Total shots | 16.07 12.15–19.99 11.05–21.09 | 11.79 8.23–15.35 7.27–16.31 | 27.86 20.37–35.35 18.32–37.40 | 76% 18% |
| Shots in box | 11.67 8.73–14.61 7.90–15.44 | 7.71 5.03–10.39 4.29–11.13 | 19.38 13.76–25.00 12.19–26.57 | 78% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 4.45 2.56–6.33 2.02–6.87 | 3.16 1.51–4.81 1.02–5.31 | 7.61 4.07–11.14 3.04–12.18 | 61% 13% 26% |
| Corners | 6.25 4.04–8.46 3.46–9.04 | 4.50 2.50–6.50 1.96–7.03 | 10.74 6.53–14.96 5.42–16.06 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 52.11 45.32–58.90 43.65–60.57 | 47.12 40.34–53.91 38.67–55.58 | — | 59% 36% |
| Passes | 484 416–551 398–569 | 429 362–495 345–513 | 912 779–1046 743–1082 | 67% 32% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.63 69.60–77.66 68.31–78.95 | 71.16 66.83–75.48 65.52–76.79 | — | 60% 35% |
| Fouls | 11.49 8.65–14.32 7.89–15.08 | 11.53 8.58–14.47 7.83–15.22 | 23.01 17.23–28.80 15.73–30.30 | 45% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.92 0.76–3.08 0.46–3.38 | 1.25 0.16–2.35 0.00–2.64 | 3.18 0.92–5.43 0.33–6.02 | 53% 22% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.60 0.55–2.65 0.29–2.92 | 2.07 0.94–3.19 0.65–3.49 | 3.67 1.49–5.85 0.93–6.40 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.95 1.51–4.38 1.12–4.77 | 3.86 2.31–5.42 1.88–5.84 | 6.81 3.82–9.80 3.00–10.61 | 29% 15% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.