Premiership·Regular Season - 18·
Premiership·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
26%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.092.51safe0.46–2.390.23–1.940.69–4.34safer0.21–2.650.01–2.170.21–4.82
Shots on target
60%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.013.738.74safe3.15–6.871.99–5.475.13–12.34safer2.66–7.361.52–5.944.18–13.30
Total shots
82%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction16.6311.2627.89safe12.70–20.557.70–14.8320.40–35.38safer11.61–21.646.74–15.7918.35–37.43
Shots in box
68%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction9.847.4417.28safe6.89–12.784.76–10.1311.66–22.90safer6.06–13.614.03–10.8610.09–24.47
Blocked shots
62%
13%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.593.257.84safe2.71–6.471.59–4.904.30–11.37safer2.16–7.011.10–5.393.27–12.41
Corners
61%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction6.084.6610.73safe3.87–8.292.66–6.666.52–14.95safer3.29–8.872.12–7.195.41–16.05
Possession %
64%
32%
homeawayprediction53.9846.90safe47.19–60.7740.11–53.68safer45.52–62.4438.44–55.35
Passes
74%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction458381839safe391–526315–448706–973safer373–544297–465670–1009
Pass accuracy %
53%
42%
homeawayprediction68.5167.36safe64.48–72.5463.04–71.68safer63.19–73.8361.73–72.99
Fouls
48%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6112.3024.91safe9.77–15.459.35–15.2419.13–30.69safer9.02–16.218.61–15.9917.62–32.20
Offsides
43%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.673.55safe0.72–3.040.57–2.761.30–5.80safer0.42–3.340.29–3.050.71–6.39
Yellow cards
40%
21%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.883.80safe0.88–2.970.75–3.011.62–5.98safer0.61–3.240.46–3.301.07–6.54
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
27%
15%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.523.496.01safe1.08–3.961.94–5.053.02–9.00safer0.70–4.341.51–5.472.21–9.82
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.43 0.46–2.39 0.21–2.65 | 1.09 0.23–1.94 0.01–2.17 | 2.51 0.69–4.34 0.21–4.82 | 45% 26% 29% |
| Shots on target | 5.01 3.15–6.87 2.66–7.36 | 3.73 1.99–5.47 1.52–5.94 | 8.74 5.13–12.34 4.18–13.30 | 60% 27% |
| Total shots | 16.63 12.70–20.55 11.61–21.64 | 11.26 7.70–14.83 6.74–15.79 | 27.89 20.40–35.38 18.35–37.43 | 82% 13% |
| Shots in box | 9.84 6.89–12.78 6.06–13.61 | 7.44 4.76–10.13 4.03–10.86 | 17.28 11.66–22.90 10.09–24.47 | 68% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 4.59 2.71–6.47 2.16–7.01 | 3.25 1.59–4.90 1.10–5.39 | 7.84 4.30–11.37 3.27–12.41 | 62% 13% 25% |
| Corners | 6.08 3.87–8.29 3.29–8.87 | 4.66 2.66–6.66 2.12–7.19 | 10.73 6.52–14.95 5.41–16.05 | 61% 28% |
| Possession % | 53.98 47.19–60.77 45.52–62.44 | 46.90 40.11–53.68 38.44–55.35 | — | 64% 32% |
| Passes | 458 391–526 373–544 | 381 315–448 297–465 | 839 706–973 670–1009 | 74% 26% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.51 64.48–72.54 63.19–73.83 | 67.36 63.04–71.68 61.73–72.99 | — | 53% 42% |
| Fouls | 12.61 9.77–15.45 9.02–16.21 | 12.30 9.35–15.24 8.61–15.99 | 24.91 19.13–30.69 17.62–32.20 | 48% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.88 0.72–3.04 0.42–3.34 | 1.67 0.57–2.76 0.29–3.05 | 3.55 1.30–5.80 0.71–6.39 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.92 0.88–2.97 0.61–3.24 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.80 1.62–5.98 1.07–6.54 | 40% 21% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.52 1.08–3.96 0.70–4.34 | 3.49 1.94–5.05 1.51–5.47 | 6.01 3.02–9.00 2.21–9.82 | 27% 15% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.