Premiership·Regular Season - 19·
Premiership·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
22%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction1.900.932.84safe0.94–2.870.08–1.791.02–4.66safer0.68–3.120.00–2.020.54–5.14
Shots on target
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.123.339.44safe4.25–7.981.58–5.075.84–13.05safer3.77–8.471.12–5.534.88–14.00
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction19.7510.0629.81safe15.83–23.686.50–13.6222.33–37.30safer14.74–24.775.54–14.5820.28–39.35
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction11.526.8118.33safe8.58–14.464.13–9.4912.71–23.95safer7.75–15.293.39–10.2311.14–25.52
Blocked shots
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.093.169.25safe4.21–7.971.51–4.825.72–12.79safer3.66–8.511.02–5.314.68–13.82
Corners
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction7.444.3411.78safe5.22–9.652.34–6.347.56–15.99safer4.65–10.221.81–6.876.46–17.10
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction64.7235.06safe57.93–71.5128.28–41.85safer56.26–73.1826.61–43.52
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction625319944safe558–692252–385810–1078safer540–710235–403775–1113
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction78.6468.08safe74.61–82.6763.76–72.40safer73.32–83.9662.45–73.71
Fouls
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7210.6722.39safe8.89–14.567.73–13.6116.61–28.17safer8.13–15.326.98–14.3615.11–29.68
Offsides
51%
22%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.393.36safe0.81–3.130.30–2.481.11–5.61safer0.51–3.430.01–2.770.52–6.20
Yellow cards
33%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.723.19safe0.42–2.520.59–2.851.01–5.37safer0.16–2.790.30–3.140.45–5.92
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
17%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.374.286.65safe0.94–3.812.72–5.833.66–9.64safer0.55–4.202.30–6.262.85–10.45
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.90 0.94–2.87 0.68–3.12 | 0.93 0.08–1.79 0.00–2.02 | 2.84 1.02–4.66 0.54–5.14 | 60% 22% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.12 4.25–7.98 3.77–8.47 | 3.33 1.58–5.07 1.12–5.53 | 9.44 5.84–13.05 4.88–14.00 | 77% 14% |
| Total shots | 19.75 15.83–23.68 14.74–24.77 | 10.06 6.50–13.62 5.54–14.58 | 29.81 22.33–37.30 20.28–39.35 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 11.52 8.58–14.46 7.75–15.29 | 6.81 4.13–9.49 3.39–10.23 | 18.33 12.71–23.95 11.14–25.52 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 6.09 4.21–7.97 3.66–8.51 | 3.16 1.51–4.82 1.02–5.31 | 9.25 5.72–12.79 4.68–13.82 | 79% |
| Corners | 7.44 5.22–9.65 4.65–10.22 | 4.34 2.34–6.34 1.81–6.87 | 11.78 7.56–15.99 6.46–17.10 | 78% 14% |
| Possession % | 64.72 57.93–71.51 56.26–73.18 | 35.06 28.28–41.85 26.61–43.52 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 625 558–692 540–710 | 319 252–385 235–403 | 944 810–1078 775–1113 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.64 74.61–82.67 73.32–83.96 | 68.08 63.76–72.40 62.45–73.71 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 11.72 8.89–14.56 8.13–15.32 | 10.67 7.73–13.61 6.98–14.36 | 22.39 16.61–28.17 15.11–29.68 | 55% 37% |
| Offsides | 1.97 0.81–3.13 0.51–3.43 | 1.39 0.30–2.48 0.01–2.77 | 3.36 1.11–5.61 0.52–6.20 | 51% 22% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.47 0.42–2.52 0.16–2.79 | 1.72 0.59–2.85 0.30–3.14 | 3.19 1.01–5.37 0.45–5.92 | 33% 23% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.37 0.94–3.81 0.55–4.20 | 4.28 2.72–5.83 2.30–6.26 | 6.65 3.66–9.64 2.85–10.45 | 17% 71% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.