Premiership·Regular Season - 19·
Premiership·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
26%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.172.56safe0.42–2.360.32–2.030.74–4.38safer0.17–2.610.09–2.250.26–4.86
Shots on target
58%
13%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.693.588.27safe2.82–6.551.84–5.334.67–11.88safer2.33–7.041.38–5.793.71–12.83
Total shots
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction14.549.6824.21safe10.61–18.466.12–13.2416.73–31.70safer9.52–19.555.16–14.2014.68–33.75
Shots in box
69%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction9.316.8216.13safe6.37–12.254.14–9.5010.50–21.75safer5.54–13.083.40–10.248.94–23.32
Blocked shots
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.432.717.13safe2.55–6.311.05–4.363.60–10.67safer2.00–6.850.56–4.852.56–11.71
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.424.229.64safe3.20–7.632.22–6.225.42–13.85safer2.63–8.201.69–6.754.32–14.96
Possession %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction52.3548.33safe45.56–59.1441.55–55.12safer43.89–60.8139.88–56.79
Passes
64%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction441399840safe374–508332–465706–973safer356–527315–482670–1009
Pass accuracy %
32%
63%
homeawayprediction65.0768.23safe61.04–69.1063.90–72.55safer59.74–70.3962.60–73.86
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7613.7627.52safe10.92–16.5910.82–16.7121.74–33.30safer10.16–17.3510.07–17.4620.23–34.81
Offsides
30%
23%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.803.20safe0.24–2.560.70–2.890.95–5.45safer0.00–2.870.42–3.180.36–6.04
Yellow cards
32%
20%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.892.344.24safe0.84–2.941.22–3.472.06–6.42safer0.58–3.210.92–3.771.50–6.97
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.21safe0.00–0.260.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.430.00–0.84
GK saves
34%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.713.235.95safe1.28–4.151.68–4.792.95–8.94safer0.89–4.541.25–5.212.14–9.75
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.39 0.42–2.36 0.17–2.61 | 1.17 0.32–2.03 0.09–2.25 | 2.56 0.74–4.38 0.26–4.86 | 42% 26% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.69 2.82–6.55 2.33–7.04 | 3.58 1.84–5.33 1.38–5.79 | 8.27 4.67–11.88 3.71–12.83 | 58% 13% 29% |
| Total shots | 14.54 10.61–18.46 9.52–19.55 | 9.68 6.12–13.24 5.16–14.20 | 24.21 16.73–31.70 14.68–33.75 | 81% 14% |
| Shots in box | 9.31 6.37–12.25 5.54–13.08 | 6.82 4.14–9.50 3.40–10.24 | 16.13 10.50–21.75 8.94–23.32 | 69% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 4.43 2.55–6.31 2.00–6.85 | 2.71 1.05–4.36 0.56–4.85 | 7.13 3.60–10.67 2.56–11.71 | 68% 20% |
| Corners | 5.42 3.20–7.63 2.63–8.20 | 4.22 2.22–6.22 1.69–6.75 | 9.64 5.42–13.85 4.32–14.96 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 52.35 45.56–59.14 43.89–60.81 | 48.33 41.55–55.12 39.88–56.79 | — | 57% 38% |
| Passes | 441 374–508 356–527 | 399 332–465 315–482 | 840 706–973 670–1009 | 64% 36% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.07 61.04–69.10 59.74–70.39 | 68.23 63.90–72.55 62.60–73.86 | — | 32% 63% |
| Fouls | 13.76 10.92–16.59 10.16–17.35 | 13.76 10.82–16.71 10.07–17.46 | 27.52 21.74–33.30 20.23–34.81 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.40 0.24–2.56 0.00–2.87 | 1.80 0.70–2.89 0.42–3.18 | 3.20 0.95–5.45 0.36–6.04 | 30% 23% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 1.89 0.84–2.94 0.58–3.21 | 2.34 1.22–3.47 0.92–3.77 | 4.24 2.06–6.42 1.50–6.97 | 32% 20% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.71 1.28–4.15 0.89–4.54 | 3.23 1.68–4.79 1.25–5.21 | 5.95 2.95–8.94 2.14–9.75 | 34% 16% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.