Premiership·Regular Season - 21·
Premiership·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
25%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.201.512.71safe0.23–2.170.65–2.360.88–4.53safer0.00–2.420.42–2.590.40–5.01
Shots on target
31%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.175.159.33safe2.31–6.033.41–6.905.72–12.93safer1.82–6.522.95–7.364.77–13.89
Total shots
32%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0313.9726.00safe8.11–15.9610.40–17.5318.51–33.49safer7.02–17.059.44–18.4916.46–35.54
Shots in box
40%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction8.058.6016.66safe5.11–11.005.92–11.2811.03–22.28safer4.28–11.825.18–12.029.47–23.85
Blocked shots
42%
15%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.523.527.04safe1.64–5.401.87–5.183.51–10.58safer1.09–5.941.38–5.672.47–11.61
Corners
39%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction5.115.5110.62safe2.89–7.323.51–7.516.40–14.83safer2.32–7.892.98–8.045.30–15.94
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction39.1461.31safe32.35–45.9354.53–68.10safer30.68–47.6052.86–69.77
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction358575933safe291–425509–642800–1067safer272–443491–659764–1103
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction65.7677.89safe61.73–69.7973.57–82.22safer60.44–71.0872.26–83.53
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1711.8823.05safe8.33–14.008.94–14.8317.27–28.83safer7.57–14.768.19–15.5815.76–30.34
Offsides
48%
23%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.403.24safe0.68–3.000.31–2.490.98–5.49safer0.38–3.300.02–2.780.39–6.08
Yellow cards
39%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.803.61safe0.76–2.860.67–2.931.43–5.79safer0.50–3.130.38–3.220.88–6.35
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.090.20safe0.00–0.270.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.420.00–0.410.00–0.83
GK saves
54%
16%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.392.646.03safe1.96–4.831.08–4.203.04–9.03safer1.57–5.220.66–4.622.23–9.84
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.20 0.23–2.17 0.00–2.42 | 1.51 0.65–2.36 0.42–2.59 | 2.71 0.88–4.53 0.40–5.01 | 30% 25% 44% |
| Shots on target | 4.17 2.31–6.03 1.82–6.52 | 5.15 3.41–6.90 2.95–7.36 | 9.33 5.72–12.93 4.77–13.89 | 31% 56% |
| Total shots | 12.03 8.11–15.96 7.02–17.05 | 13.97 10.40–17.53 9.44–18.49 | 26.00 18.51–33.49 16.46–35.54 | 32% 61% |
| Shots in box | 8.05 5.11–11.00 4.28–11.82 | 8.60 5.92–11.28 5.18–12.02 | 16.66 11.03–22.28 9.47–23.85 | 40% 50% |
| Blocked shots | 3.52 1.64–5.40 1.09–5.94 | 3.52 1.87–5.18 1.38–5.67 | 7.04 3.51–10.58 2.47–11.61 | 42% 15% 42% |
| Corners | 5.11 2.89–7.32 2.32–7.89 | 5.51 3.51–7.51 2.98–8.04 | 10.62 6.40–14.83 5.30–15.94 | 39% 49% |
| Possession % | 39.14 32.35–45.93 30.68–47.60 | 61.31 54.53–68.10 52.86–69.77 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 358 291–425 272–443 | 575 509–642 491–659 | 933 800–1067 764–1103 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.76 61.73–69.79 60.44–71.08 | 77.89 73.57–82.22 72.26–83.53 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 11.17 8.33–14.00 7.57–14.76 | 11.88 8.94–14.83 8.19–15.58 | 23.05 17.27–28.83 15.76–30.34 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.84 0.68–3.00 0.38–3.30 | 1.40 0.31–2.49 0.02–2.78 | 3.24 0.98–5.49 0.39–6.08 | 48% 23% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.81 0.76–2.86 0.50–3.13 | 1.80 0.67–2.93 0.38–3.22 | 3.61 1.43–5.79 0.88–6.35 | 39% 22% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.39 1.96–4.83 1.57–5.22 | 2.64 1.08–4.20 0.66–4.62 | 6.03 3.04–9.03 2.23–9.84 | 54% 16% 30% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+