Premiership·Regular Season - 22·
Premiership·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
65%
20%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.060.882.94safe1.09–3.030.02–1.731.11–4.76safer0.84–3.280.00–1.960.63–5.24
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.112.848.95safe4.25–7.971.10–4.585.34–12.55safer3.76–8.460.63–5.054.39–13.51
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction17.258.9726.22safe13.33–21.175.41–12.5318.73–33.71safer12.23–22.274.45–13.4916.68–35.76
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction11.895.7617.64safe8.94–14.833.08–8.4412.02–23.27safer8.12–15.662.34–9.1810.45–24.83
Blocked shots
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.942.507.43safe3.05–6.820.84–4.153.90–10.97safer2.51–7.360.35–4.642.86–12.00
Corners
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.813.9710.78safe4.60–9.031.97–5.976.56–14.99safer4.03–9.601.43–6.505.46–16.10
Possession %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction57.1742.75safe50.37–63.9635.97–49.54safer48.71–65.6334.30–51.21
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction506364870safe438–573298–431736–1004safer420–591280–448701–1039
Pass accuracy %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction72.1766.51safe68.14–76.2062.19–70.83safer66.85–77.5060.88–72.14
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7313.1724.90safe8.90–14.5710.22–16.1119.12–30.69safer8.14–15.339.48–16.8617.62–32.19
Offsides
54%
23%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.143.01safe0.71–3.030.05–2.230.76–5.27safer0.41–3.330.00–2.520.17–5.86
Yellow cards
22%
20%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.342.253.59safe0.29–2.391.12–3.381.41–5.77safer0.03–2.660.83–3.670.85–6.33
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.120.18safe0.00–0.210.00–0.310.00–0.52safer0.00–0.360.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
15%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction1.993.965.94safe0.55–3.422.40–5.512.95–8.94safer0.16–3.811.98–5.942.14–9.75
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.06 1.09–3.03 0.84–3.28 | 0.88 0.02–1.73 0.00–1.96 | 2.94 1.11–4.76 0.63–5.24 | 65% 20% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.11 4.25–7.97 3.76–8.46 | 2.84 1.10–4.58 0.63–5.05 | 8.95 5.34–12.55 4.39–13.51 | 83% |
| Total shots | 17.25 13.33–21.17 12.23–22.27 | 8.97 5.41–12.53 4.45–13.49 | 26.22 18.73–33.71 16.68–35.76 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 11.89 8.94–14.83 8.12–15.66 | 5.76 3.08–8.44 2.34–9.18 | 17.64 12.02–23.27 10.45–24.83 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 4.94 3.05–6.82 2.51–7.36 | 2.50 0.84–4.15 0.35–4.64 | 7.43 3.90–10.97 2.86–12.00 | 76% 14% |
| Corners | 6.81 4.60–9.03 4.03–9.60 | 3.97 1.97–5.97 1.43–6.50 | 10.78 6.56–14.99 5.46–16.10 | 76% 15% |
| Possession % | 57.17 50.37–63.96 48.71–65.63 | 42.75 35.97–49.54 34.30–51.21 | — | 79% 18% |
| Passes | 506 438–573 420–591 | 364 298–431 280–448 | 870 736–1004 701–1039 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.17 68.14–76.20 66.85–77.50 | 66.51 62.19–70.83 60.88–72.14 | — | 75% 21% |
| Fouls | 11.73 8.90–14.57 8.14–15.33 | 13.17 10.22–16.11 9.48–16.86 | 24.90 19.12–30.69 17.62–32.19 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.71–3.03 0.41–3.33 | 1.14 0.05–2.23 0.00–2.52 | 3.01 0.76–5.27 0.17–5.86 | 54% 23% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 1.34 0.29–2.39 0.03–2.66 | 2.25 1.12–3.38 0.83–3.67 | 3.59 1.41–5.77 0.85–6.33 | 22% 20% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 1.99 0.55–3.42 0.16–3.81 | 3.96 2.40–5.51 1.98–5.94 | 5.94 2.95–8.94 2.14–9.75 | 15% 73% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.