Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
27%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.302.55safe0.28–2.210.45–2.160.72–4.37safer0.03–2.460.22–2.390.25–4.85
Shots on target
48%
14%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.584.248.82safe2.72–6.442.50–5.985.22–12.43safer2.23–6.932.03–6.454.26–13.38
Total shots
70%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7711.6226.39safe10.84–18.698.06–15.1818.90–33.87safer9.75–19.787.10–16.1416.85–35.93
Shots in box
55%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction9.128.0517.18safe6.18–12.065.37–10.7411.55–22.80safer5.35–12.894.64–11.479.99–24.37
Blocked shots
62%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.713.328.02safe2.82–6.591.67–4.974.49–11.56safer2.28–7.131.17–5.463.45–12.60
Corners
48%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction5.435.1110.54safe3.22–7.643.11–7.116.33–14.75safer2.64–8.222.58–7.645.22–15.86
Possession %
30%
66%
homeawayprediction45.8653.82safe39.07–52.6547.04–60.61safer37.40–54.3245.37–62.28
Passes
29%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction425491916safe358–492425–558783–1050safer340–511407–575747–1086
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction65.0473.53safe61.01–69.0769.21–77.86safer59.72–70.3667.90–79.16
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9113.6125.53safe9.08–14.7510.67–16.5619.74–31.31safer8.32–15.519.92–17.3018.24–32.81
Offsides
30%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.943.46safe0.36–2.680.85–3.031.21–5.71safer0.06–2.980.56–3.320.62–6.30
Yellow cards
28%
20%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.652.293.94safe0.60–2.701.16–3.421.76–6.12safer0.34–2.970.87–3.711.20–6.68
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.19safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
39%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.822.955.78safe1.39–4.261.40–4.512.78–8.77safer1.00–4.650.97–4.931.97–9.58
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.25 0.28–2.21 0.03–2.46 | 1.30 0.45–2.16 0.22–2.39 | 2.55 0.72–4.37 0.25–4.85 | 35% 27% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.58 2.72–6.44 2.23–6.93 | 4.24 2.50–5.98 2.03–6.45 | 8.82 5.22–12.43 4.26–13.38 | 48% 14% 39% |
| Total shots | 14.77 10.84–18.69 9.75–19.78 | 11.62 8.06–15.18 7.10–16.14 | 26.39 18.90–33.87 16.85–35.93 | 70% 24% |
| Shots in box | 9.12 6.18–12.06 5.35–12.89 | 8.05 5.37–10.74 4.64–11.47 | 17.18 11.55–22.80 9.99–24.37 | 55% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 4.71 2.82–6.59 2.28–7.13 | 3.32 1.67–4.97 1.17–5.46 | 8.02 4.49–11.56 3.45–12.60 | 62% 25% |
| Corners | 5.43 3.22–7.64 2.64–8.22 | 5.11 3.11–7.11 2.58–7.64 | 10.54 6.33–14.75 5.22–15.86 | 48% 40% |
| Possession % | 45.86 39.07–52.65 37.40–54.32 | 53.82 47.04–60.61 45.37–62.28 | — | 30% 66% |
| Passes | 425 358–492 340–511 | 491 425–558 407–575 | 916 783–1050 747–1086 | 29% 71% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.04 61.01–69.07 59.72–70.36 | 73.53 69.21–77.86 67.90–79.16 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 11.91 9.08–14.75 8.32–15.51 | 13.61 10.67–16.56 9.92–17.30 | 25.53 19.74–31.31 18.24–32.81 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.06–2.98 | 1.94 0.85–3.03 0.56–3.32 | 3.46 1.21–5.71 0.62–6.30 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 1.65 0.60–2.70 0.34–2.97 | 2.29 1.16–3.42 0.87–3.71 | 3.94 1.76–6.12 1.20–6.68 | 28% 20% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.82 1.39–4.26 1.00–4.65 | 2.95 1.40–4.51 0.97–4.93 | 5.78 2.78–8.77 1.97–9.58 | 39% 17% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.