Premiership·Regular Season - 24·
Premiership·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
24%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.002.67safe0.70–2.640.15–1.860.85–4.50safer0.45–2.890.00–2.090.37–4.98
Shots on target
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.203.308.51safe3.34–7.061.56–5.054.90–12.11safer2.85–7.551.10–5.513.95–13.07
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction15.8910.1826.08safe11.97–19.826.62–13.7418.59–33.56safer10.88–20.915.66–14.7016.54–35.61
Shots in box
77%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction9.896.3916.28safe6.95–12.833.71–9.0710.65–21.90safer6.12–13.662.97–9.819.09–23.47
Blocked shots
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.592.847.43safe2.71–6.471.19–4.493.89–10.97safer2.17–7.020.69–4.982.86–12.00
Corners
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.384.2510.63safe4.17–8.592.25–6.256.42–14.84safer3.59–9.171.72–6.785.31–15.95
Possession %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction54.9445.52safe48.15–61.7338.73–52.30safer46.48–63.4037.06–53.97
Passes
82%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction490378868safe422–557312–445734–1002safer404–575294–462699–1037
Pass accuracy %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction67.8966.30safe63.86–71.9261.98–70.63safer62.57–73.2160.67–71.94
Fouls
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9112.5125.43safe10.08–15.759.57–15.4619.64–31.21safer9.32–16.518.82–16.2118.14–32.71
Offsides
44%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.041.793.84safe0.88–3.200.70–2.881.58–6.09safer0.58–3.500.41–3.170.99–6.68
Yellow cards
39%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.773.57safe0.75–2.840.64–2.901.39–5.74safer0.48–3.110.35–3.190.83–6.30
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
26%
16%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.323.305.62safe0.89–3.761.74–4.862.63–8.61safer0.50–4.151.32–5.281.82–9.43
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.67 0.70–2.64 0.45–2.89 | 1.00 0.15–1.86 0.00–2.09 | 2.67 0.85–4.50 0.37–4.98 | 53% 24% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.20 3.34–7.06 2.85–7.55 | 3.30 1.56–5.05 1.10–5.51 | 8.51 4.90–12.11 3.95–13.07 | 68% 20% |
| Total shots | 15.89 11.97–19.82 10.88–20.91 | 10.18 6.62–13.74 5.66–14.70 | 26.08 18.59–33.56 16.54–35.61 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 9.89 6.95–12.83 6.12–13.66 | 6.39 3.71–9.07 2.97–9.81 | 16.28 10.65–21.90 9.09–23.47 | 77% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 4.59 2.71–6.47 2.17–7.02 | 2.84 1.19–4.49 0.69–4.98 | 7.43 3.89–10.97 2.86–12.00 | 68% 20% |
| Corners | 6.38 4.17–8.59 3.59–9.17 | 4.25 2.25–6.25 1.72–6.78 | 10.63 6.42–14.84 5.31–15.95 | 69% 21% |
| Possession % | 54.94 48.15–61.73 46.48–63.40 | 45.52 38.73–52.30 37.06–53.97 | — | 69% 27% |
| Passes | 490 422–557 404–575 | 378 312–445 294–462 | 868 734–1002 699–1037 | 82% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.89 63.86–71.92 62.57–73.21 | 66.30 61.98–70.63 60.67–71.94 | — | 56% 39% |
| Fouls | 12.91 10.08–15.75 9.32–16.51 | 12.51 9.57–15.46 8.82–16.21 | 25.43 19.64–31.21 18.14–32.71 | 49% 43% |
| Offsides | 2.04 0.88–3.20 0.58–3.50 | 1.79 0.70–2.88 0.41–3.17 | 3.84 1.58–6.09 0.99–6.68 | 44% 21% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.79 0.75–2.84 0.48–3.11 | 1.77 0.64–2.90 0.35–3.19 | 3.57 1.39–5.74 0.83–6.30 | 39% 22% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.32 0.89–3.76 0.50–4.15 | 3.30 1.74–4.86 1.32–5.28 | 5.62 2.63–8.61 1.82–9.43 | 26% 16% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.