Premiership·Regular Season - 24·
Premiership·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
67%
20%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.000.752.75safe1.03–2.970.00–1.600.93–4.57safer0.78–3.220.00–1.830.45–5.05
Shots on target
89%
homeawaytotalprediction6.642.509.14safe4.77–8.500.76–4.245.53–12.74safer4.29–8.990.29–4.714.58–13.70
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction18.517.6726.18safe14.59–22.444.11–11.2418.70–33.67safer13.50–23.533.15–12.2016.65–35.72
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction12.304.7917.09safe9.36–15.242.11–7.4711.47–22.71safer8.53–16.071.37–8.219.90–24.28
Blocked shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction5.172.107.27safe3.28–7.050.45–3.763.73–10.80safer2.74–7.590.00–4.252.70–11.84
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.933.2910.23safe4.72–9.151.29–5.296.01–14.44safer4.15–9.720.76–5.834.91–15.55
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction55.3845.27safe48.59–62.1738.48–52.05safer46.92–63.8436.81–53.72
Passes
81%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction503400903safe436–570333–466769–1037safer418–589316–484734–1072
Pass accuracy %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction69.1067.43safe65.07–73.1363.11–71.76safer63.78–74.4261.80–73.07
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0313.3926.42safe10.20–15.8710.44–16.3320.64–32.20safer9.44–16.639.69–17.0819.13–33.70
Offsides
40%
23%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.603.26safe0.50–2.820.51–2.691.01–5.52safer0.20–3.120.22–2.980.42–6.11
Yellow cards
20%
19%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.292.323.61safe0.24–2.341.19–3.451.43–5.79safer0.00–2.610.90–3.740.87–6.35
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.17safe0.00–0.210.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
78%
homeawaytotalprediction2.084.566.63safe0.64–3.523.00–6.113.64–9.63safer0.26–3.902.57–6.542.83–10.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.00 1.03–2.97 0.78–3.22 | 0.75 0.00–1.60 0.00–1.83 | 2.75 0.93–4.57 0.45–5.05 | 67% 20% 13% |
| Shots on target | 6.64 4.77–8.50 4.29–8.99 | 2.50 0.76–4.24 0.29–4.71 | 9.14 5.53–12.74 4.58–13.70 | 89% |
| Total shots | 18.51 14.59–22.44 13.50–23.53 | 7.67 4.11–11.24 3.15–12.20 | 26.18 18.70–33.67 16.65–35.72 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 12.30 9.36–15.24 8.53–16.07 | 4.79 2.11–7.47 1.37–8.21 | 17.09 11.47–22.71 9.90–24.28 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 5.17 3.28–7.05 2.74–7.59 | 2.10 0.45–3.76 0.00–4.25 | 7.27 3.73–10.80 2.70–11.84 | 83% |
| Corners | 6.93 4.72–9.15 4.15–9.72 | 3.29 1.29–5.29 0.76–5.83 | 10.23 6.01–14.44 4.91–15.55 | 84% |
| Possession % | 55.38 48.59–62.17 46.92–63.84 | 45.27 38.48–52.05 36.81–53.72 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 503 436–570 418–589 | 400 333–466 316–484 | 903 769–1037 734–1072 | 81% 19% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.10 65.07–73.13 63.78–74.42 | 67.43 63.11–71.76 61.80–73.07 | — | 56% 39% |
| Fouls | 13.03 10.20–15.87 9.44–16.63 | 13.39 10.44–16.33 9.69–17.08 | 26.42 20.64–32.20 19.13–33.70 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 1.60 0.51–2.69 0.22–2.98 | 3.26 1.01–5.52 0.42–6.11 | 40% 23% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.29 0.24–2.34 0.00–2.61 | 2.32 1.19–3.45 0.90–3.74 | 3.61 1.43–5.79 0.87–6.35 | 20% 19% 60% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.08 0.64–3.52 0.26–3.90 | 4.56 3.00–6.11 2.57–6.54 | 6.63 3.64–9.63 2.83–10.44 | 78% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+