Premiership·Regular Season - 25·
Premiership·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
69%
18%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.380.943.32safe1.41–3.340.09–1.801.50–5.14safer1.16–3.590.00–2.031.02–5.62
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.833.3110.13safe4.96–8.691.56–5.056.53–13.74safer4.47–9.181.10–5.515.57–14.69
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction18.1610.1828.34safe14.24–22.096.61–13.7420.85–35.83safer13.15–23.185.65–14.7018.80–37.88
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction12.466.5218.98safe9.52–15.403.84–9.2013.35–24.60safer8.69–16.233.10–9.9411.79–26.17
Blocked shots
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.802.707.50safe2.92–6.681.04–4.353.96–11.03safer2.38–7.230.55–4.842.93–12.07
Corners
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.693.9710.66safe4.48–8.901.97–5.976.45–14.88safer3.90–9.481.44–6.515.34–15.98
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction54.9045.04safe48.11–61.6938.26–51.83safer46.44–63.3636.59–53.50
Passes
80%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction524422947safe457–592356–489813–1080safer439–610338–506777–1116
Pass accuracy %
62%
33%
homeawayprediction73.0870.25safe69.05–77.1165.93–74.58safer67.76–78.4164.62–75.88
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3811.8923.27safe8.55–14.228.94–14.8317.49–29.05safer7.79–14.988.19–15.5815.98–30.56
Offsides
54%
22%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.153.03safe0.72–3.040.06–2.240.78–5.29safer0.42–3.340.00–2.530.19–5.88
Yellow cards
22%
21%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.282.153.44safe0.23–2.331.02–3.281.26–5.62safer0.00–2.600.73–3.570.70–6.17
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.120.17safe0.00–0.210.00–0.310.00–0.52safer0.00–0.360.00–0.440.00–0.80
GK saves
15%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.324.456.77safe0.89–3.762.89–6.013.78–9.76safer0.50–4.142.47–6.432.97–10.57
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.38 1.41–3.34 1.16–3.59 | 0.94 0.09–1.80 0.00–2.03 | 3.32 1.50–5.14 1.02–5.62 | 69% 18% 13% |
| Shots on target | 6.83 4.96–8.69 4.47–9.18 | 3.31 1.56–5.05 1.10–5.51 | 10.13 6.53–13.74 5.57–14.69 | 83% |
| Total shots | 18.16 14.24–22.09 13.15–23.18 | 10.18 6.61–13.74 5.65–14.70 | 28.34 20.85–35.83 18.80–37.88 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 12.46 9.52–15.40 8.69–16.23 | 6.52 3.84–9.20 3.10–9.94 | 18.98 13.35–24.60 11.79–26.17 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 4.80 2.92–6.68 2.38–7.23 | 2.70 1.04–4.35 0.55–4.84 | 7.50 3.96–11.03 2.93–12.07 | 72% 17% |
| Corners | 6.69 4.48–8.90 3.90–9.48 | 3.97 1.97–5.97 1.44–6.51 | 10.66 6.45–14.88 5.34–15.98 | 75% 16% |
| Possession % | 54.90 48.11–61.69 46.44–63.36 | 45.04 38.26–51.83 36.59–53.50 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 524 457–592 439–610 | 422 356–489 338–506 | 947 813–1080 777–1116 | 80% 20% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.08 69.05–77.11 67.76–78.41 | 70.25 65.93–74.58 64.62–75.88 | — | 62% 33% |
| Fouls | 11.38 8.55–14.22 7.79–14.98 | 11.89 8.94–14.83 8.19–15.58 | 23.27 17.49–29.05 15.98–30.56 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.88 0.72–3.04 0.42–3.34 | 1.15 0.06–2.24 0.00–2.53 | 3.03 0.78–5.29 0.19–5.88 | 54% 22% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 1.28 0.23–2.33 0.00–2.60 | 2.15 1.02–3.28 0.73–3.57 | 3.44 1.26–5.62 0.70–6.17 | 22% 21% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.32 0.89–3.76 0.50–4.14 | 4.45 2.89–6.01 2.47–6.43 | 6.77 3.78–9.76 2.97–10.57 | 15% 73% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.