Premiership·Regular Season - 25·
Premiership·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
23%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.171.802.97safe0.20–2.140.94–2.651.15–4.79safer0.00–2.390.72–2.880.67–5.27
Shots on target
28%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction4.325.6810.01safe2.46–6.183.94–7.436.40–13.61safer1.97–6.673.48–7.895.45–14.57
Total shots
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0215.4428.47safe9.10–16.9511.88–19.0120.98–35.95safer8.01–18.0410.92–19.9718.93–38.01
Shots in box
30%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction8.4810.2118.70safe5.54–11.437.53–12.9013.08–24.32safer4.71–12.266.80–13.6311.51–25.89
Blocked shots
33%
14%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.414.087.49safe1.53–5.302.43–5.733.96–11.03safer0.99–5.841.94–6.232.92–12.06
Corners
33%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.925.8610.79safe2.71–7.143.86–7.876.58–15.00safer2.14–7.713.33–8.405.47–16.11
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction37.4063.57safe30.61–44.1956.78–70.35safer28.94–45.8655.11–72.02
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction343579923safe276–411513–646789–1056safer258–429495–663753–1092
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction65.1878.67safe61.15–69.2174.35–83.00safer59.86–70.5073.04–84.30
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4812.4523.93safe8.64–14.329.51–15.3918.15–29.71safer7.89–15.088.76–16.1416.65–31.22
Offsides
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.823.50safe0.52–2.840.73–2.921.25–5.75safer0.21–3.140.44–3.200.66–6.34
Yellow cards
39%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.633.27safe0.59–2.690.50–2.761.09–5.45safer0.32–2.960.21–3.050.53–6.01
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
52%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.602.936.54safe2.17–5.041.38–4.493.54–9.53safer1.78–5.430.95–4.912.73–10.34
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.17 0.20–2.14 0.00–2.39 | 1.80 0.94–2.65 0.72–2.88 | 2.97 1.15–4.79 0.67–5.27 | 25% 23% 52% |
| Shots on target | 4.32 2.46–6.18 1.97–6.67 | 5.68 3.94–7.43 3.48–7.89 | 10.01 6.40–13.61 5.45–14.57 | 28% 61% |
| Total shots | 13.02 9.10–16.95 8.01–18.04 | 15.44 11.88–19.01 10.92–19.97 | 28.47 20.98–35.95 18.93–38.01 | 29% 64% |
| Shots in box | 8.48 5.54–11.43 4.71–12.26 | 10.21 7.53–12.90 6.80–13.63 | 18.70 13.08–24.32 11.51–25.89 | 30% 61% |
| Blocked shots | 3.41 1.53–5.30 0.99–5.84 | 4.08 2.43–5.73 1.94–6.23 | 7.49 3.96–11.03 2.92–12.06 | 33% 14% 52% |
| Corners | 4.92 2.71–7.14 2.14–7.71 | 5.86 3.86–7.87 3.33–8.40 | 10.79 6.58–15.00 5.47–16.11 | 33% 55% |
| Possession % | 37.40 30.61–44.19 28.94–45.86 | 63.57 56.78–70.35 55.11–72.02 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 343 276–411 258–429 | 579 513–646 495–663 | 923 789–1056 753–1092 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.18 61.15–69.21 59.86–70.50 | 78.67 74.35–83.00 73.04–84.30 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 11.48 8.64–14.32 7.89–15.08 | 12.45 9.51–15.39 8.76–16.14 | 23.93 18.15–29.71 16.65–31.22 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.68 0.52–2.84 0.21–3.14 | 1.82 0.73–2.92 0.44–3.20 | 3.50 1.25–5.75 0.66–6.34 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.64 0.59–2.69 0.32–2.96 | 1.63 0.50–2.76 0.21–3.05 | 3.27 1.09–5.45 0.53–6.01 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.60 2.17–5.04 1.78–5.43 | 2.93 1.38–4.49 0.95–4.91 | 6.54 3.54–9.53 2.73–10.34 | 52% 15% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.