Premiership·Regular Season - 25·
Premiership·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
25%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.111.562.66safe0.14–2.070.70–2.410.84–4.49safer0.00–2.330.48–2.640.36–4.97
Shots on target
35%
13%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.044.638.68safe2.18–5.912.89–6.385.07–12.28safer1.69–6.402.43–6.844.12–13.24
Total shots
42%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0513.6326.68safe9.13–16.9810.07–17.1919.20–34.17safer8.04–18.079.11–18.1517.15–36.22
Shots in box
38%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction8.199.0017.19safe5.25–11.136.32–11.6811.57–22.81safer4.42–11.965.58–12.4210.00–24.38
Blocked shots
45%
15%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.993.807.78safe2.10–5.872.14–5.454.25–11.32safer1.56–6.411.65–5.943.21–12.36
Corners
39%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction5.025.3810.40safe2.80–7.233.38–7.386.18–14.61safer2.23–7.812.84–7.915.07–15.72
Possession %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction50.2850.07safe43.49–57.0743.28–56.85safer41.82–58.7441.61–58.52
Passes
55%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction453437890safe386–520371–503756–1024safer368–538353–521721–1059
Pass accuracy %
23%
72%
homeawayprediction66.7071.82safe62.67–70.7367.50–76.14safer61.38–72.0266.19–77.45
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8412.9024.74safe9.00–14.689.96–15.8518.96–30.53safer8.25–15.439.21–16.6017.46–32.03
Offsides
33%
24%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.653.08safe0.27–2.590.55–2.740.82–5.33safer0.00–2.890.26–3.030.24–5.92
Yellow cards
36%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.793.45safe0.61–2.710.66–2.921.28–5.63safer0.35–2.980.37–3.210.72–6.19
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
45%
17%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.062.825.89safe1.63–4.501.27–4.382.90–8.88safer1.24–4.890.84–4.802.08–9.69
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.11 0.14–2.07 0.00–2.33 | 1.56 0.70–2.41 0.48–2.64 | 2.66 0.84–4.49 0.36–4.97 | 27% 25% 48% |
| Shots on target | 4.04 2.18–5.91 1.69–6.40 | 4.63 2.89–6.38 2.43–6.84 | 8.68 5.07–12.28 4.12–13.24 | 35% 13% 51% |
| Total shots | 13.05 9.13–16.98 8.04–18.07 | 13.63 10.07–17.19 9.11–18.15 | 26.68 19.20–34.17 17.15–36.22 | 42% 51% |
| Shots in box | 8.19 5.25–11.13 4.42–11.96 | 9.00 6.32–11.68 5.58–12.42 | 17.19 11.57–22.81 10.00–24.38 | 38% 53% |
| Blocked shots | 3.99 2.10–5.87 1.56–6.41 | 3.80 2.14–5.45 1.65–5.94 | 7.78 4.25–11.32 3.21–12.36 | 45% 15% 40% |
| Corners | 5.02 2.80–7.23 2.23–7.81 | 5.38 3.38–7.38 2.84–7.91 | 10.40 6.18–14.61 5.07–15.72 | 39% 48% |
| Possession % | 50.28 43.49–57.07 41.82–58.74 | 50.07 43.28–56.85 41.61–58.52 | — | 48% 47% |
| Passes | 453 386–520 368–538 | 437 371–503 353–521 | 890 756–1024 721–1059 | 55% 44% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.70 62.67–70.73 61.38–72.02 | 71.82 67.50–76.14 66.19–77.45 | — | 23% 72% |
| Fouls | 11.84 9.00–14.68 8.25–15.43 | 12.90 9.96–15.85 9.21–16.60 | 24.74 18.96–30.53 17.46–32.03 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.43 0.27–2.59 0.00–2.89 | 1.65 0.55–2.74 0.26–3.03 | 3.08 0.82–5.33 0.24–5.92 | 33% 24% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.66 0.61–2.71 0.35–2.98 | 1.79 0.66–2.92 0.37–3.21 | 3.45 1.28–5.63 0.72–6.19 | 36% 22% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.06 1.63–4.50 1.24–4.89 | 2.82 1.27–4.38 0.84–4.80 | 5.89 2.90–8.88 2.08–9.69 | 45% 17% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.