Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
28%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.122.34safe0.25–2.190.27–1.970.52–4.16safer0.00–2.440.04–2.200.04–4.64
Shots on target
46%
14%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.103.867.97safe2.24–5.972.12–5.614.36–11.57safer1.75–6.461.65–6.073.41–12.53
Total shots
45%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9912.0524.03safe8.06–15.918.48–15.6116.54–31.52safer6.97–17.007.52–16.5714.49–33.57
Shots in box
54%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction8.057.1915.24safe5.11–10.994.51–9.879.62–20.86safer4.28–11.823.77–10.618.05–22.43
Blocked shots
43%
16%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.363.286.65safe1.48–5.251.63–4.943.11–10.18safer0.94–5.791.14–5.432.08–11.22
Corners
48%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.054.669.70safe2.83–7.262.66–6.665.49–13.92safer2.26–7.832.13–7.194.38–15.03
Possession %
35%
61%
homeawayprediction47.0652.68safe40.27–53.8545.90–59.47safer38.60–55.5244.23–61.14
Passes
30%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction406467873safe338–473401–534739–1007safer320–491383–551704–1042
Pass accuracy %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction65.0470.62safe61.01–69.0766.30–74.95safer59.72–70.3664.99–76.25
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9012.8526.75safe11.07–16.749.90–15.7920.97–32.53safer10.31–17.509.15–16.5419.46–34.04
Offsides
49%
23%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.363.21safe0.68–3.000.27–2.460.95–5.46safer0.38–3.310.00–2.740.36–6.05
Yellow cards
37%
19%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.162.314.47safe1.11–3.211.18–3.442.29–6.65safer0.84–3.470.89–3.731.73–7.21
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.120.22safe0.00–0.260.00–0.300.00–0.57safer0.00–0.410.00–0.440.00–0.85
GK saves
41%
18%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.622.625.23safe1.18–4.051.06–4.182.24–8.23safer0.79–4.440.64–4.601.43–9.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.22 0.25–2.19 0.00–2.44 | 1.12 0.27–1.97 0.04–2.20 | 2.34 0.52–4.16 0.04–4.64 | 38% 28% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.10 2.24–5.97 1.75–6.46 | 3.86 2.12–5.61 1.65–6.07 | 7.97 4.36–11.57 3.41–12.53 | 46% 14% 39% |
| Total shots | 11.99 8.06–15.91 6.97–17.00 | 12.05 8.48–15.61 7.52–16.57 | 24.03 16.54–31.52 14.49–33.57 | 45% 46% |
| Shots in box | 8.05 5.11–10.99 4.28–11.82 | 7.19 4.51–9.87 3.77–10.61 | 15.24 9.62–20.86 8.05–22.43 | 54% 36% |
| Blocked shots | 3.36 1.48–5.25 0.94–5.79 | 3.28 1.63–4.94 1.14–5.43 | 6.65 3.11–10.18 2.08–11.22 | 43% 16% 41% |
| Corners | 5.05 2.83–7.26 2.26–7.83 | 4.66 2.66–6.66 2.13–7.19 | 9.70 5.49–13.92 4.38–15.03 | 48% 39% |
| Possession % | 47.06 40.27–53.85 38.60–55.52 | 52.68 45.90–59.47 44.23–61.14 | — | 35% 61% |
| Passes | 406 338–473 320–491 | 467 401–534 383–551 | 873 739–1007 704–1042 | 30% 70% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.04 61.01–69.07 59.72–70.36 | 70.62 66.30–74.95 64.99–76.25 | — | 22% 74% |
| Fouls | 13.90 11.07–16.74 10.31–17.50 | 12.85 9.90–15.79 9.15–16.54 | 26.75 20.97–32.53 19.46–34.04 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.84 0.68–3.00 0.38–3.31 | 1.36 0.27–2.46 0.00–2.74 | 3.21 0.95–5.46 0.36–6.05 | 49% 23% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 2.16 1.11–3.21 0.84–3.47 | 2.31 1.18–3.44 0.89–3.73 | 4.47 2.29–6.65 1.73–7.21 | 37% 19% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.62 1.18–4.05 0.79–4.44 | 2.62 1.06–4.18 0.64–4.60 | 5.23 2.24–8.23 1.43–9.04 | 41% 18% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+