Premiership·Regular Season - 26·
Premiership·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
22%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.903.15safe0.28–2.221.04–2.751.33–4.97safer0.03–2.470.81–2.980.85–5.45
Shots on target
29%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction4.505.7710.26safe2.63–6.364.02–7.516.66–13.87safer2.14–6.853.56–7.985.70–14.82
Total shots
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2815.9930.27safe10.36–18.2112.43–19.5622.79–37.76safer9.26–19.3011.47–20.5220.74–39.81
Shots in box
28%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction8.9011.0019.90safe5.96–11.848.32–13.6814.28–25.52safer5.13–12.677.58–14.4212.71–27.09
Blocked shots
38%
13%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.354.789.12safe2.47–6.233.12–6.435.59–12.66safer1.92–6.772.63–6.924.55–13.69
Corners
34%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction5.065.9110.96safe2.84–7.273.91–7.916.75–15.18safer2.27–7.853.37–8.445.64–16.28
Possession %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction48.8751.77safe42.08–55.6644.99–58.56safer40.41–57.3343.32–60.23
Passes
53%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction5195091028safe452–586443–576894–1162safer433–604425–593859–1197
Pass accuracy %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction72.5877.50safe68.56–76.6173.18–81.83safer67.26–77.9171.87–83.13
Fouls
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6711.4222.10safe7.83–13.518.48–14.3716.31–27.88safer7.08–14.277.73–15.1214.81–29.38
Offsides
34%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.773.31safe0.37–2.700.68–2.871.06–5.56safer0.07–3.000.39–3.160.47–6.15
Yellow cards
39%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.633.31safe0.63–2.720.50–2.761.13–5.48safer0.36–2.990.21–3.050.57–6.04
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
51%
16%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.512.926.43safe2.07–4.941.36–4.473.43–9.42safer1.68–5.330.94–4.902.62–10.23
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.25 0.28–2.22 0.03–2.47 | 1.90 1.04–2.75 0.81–2.98 | 3.15 1.33–4.97 0.85–5.45 | 25% 22% 52% |
| Shots on target | 4.50 2.63–6.36 2.14–6.85 | 5.77 4.02–7.51 3.56–7.98 | 10.26 6.66–13.87 5.70–14.82 | 29% 59% |
| Total shots | 14.28 10.36–18.21 9.26–19.30 | 15.99 12.43–19.56 11.47–20.52 | 30.27 22.79–37.76 20.74–39.81 | 34% 59% |
| Shots in box | 8.90 5.96–11.84 5.13–12.67 | 11.00 8.32–13.68 7.58–14.42 | 19.90 14.28–25.52 12.71–27.09 | 28% 64% |
| Blocked shots | 4.35 2.47–6.23 1.92–6.77 | 4.78 3.12–6.43 2.63–6.92 | 9.12 5.59–12.66 4.55–13.69 | 38% 13% 49% |
| Corners | 5.06 2.84–7.27 2.27–7.85 | 5.91 3.91–7.91 3.37–8.44 | 10.96 6.75–15.18 5.64–16.28 | 34% 54% |
| Possession % | 48.87 42.08–55.66 40.41–57.33 | 51.77 44.99–58.56 43.32–60.23 | — | 41% 54% |
| Passes | 519 452–586 433–604 | 509 443–576 425–593 | 1028 894–1162 859–1197 | 53% 47% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.58 68.56–76.61 67.26–77.91 | 77.50 73.18–81.83 71.87–83.13 | — | 24% 72% |
| Fouls | 10.67 7.83–13.51 7.08–14.27 | 11.42 8.48–14.37 7.73–15.12 | 22.10 16.31–27.88 14.81–29.38 | 39% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.53 0.37–2.70 0.07–3.00 | 1.77 0.68–2.87 0.39–3.16 | 3.31 1.06–5.56 0.47–6.15 | 34% 23% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.68 0.63–2.72 0.36–2.99 | 1.63 0.50–2.76 0.21–3.05 | 3.31 1.13–5.48 0.57–6.04 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.51 2.07–4.94 1.68–5.33 | 2.92 1.36–4.47 0.94–4.90 | 6.43 3.43–9.42 2.62–10.23 | 51% 16% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+