Premiership·Regular Season - 26·
Premiership·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
66%
21%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction1.980.772.75safe1.01–2.950.00–1.630.93–4.57safer0.76–3.200.00–1.850.45–5.05
Shots on target
89%
homeawaytotalprediction6.672.519.17safe4.80–8.530.76–4.255.57–12.78safer4.31–9.020.30–4.714.61–13.73
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction19.117.1726.29safe15.19–23.043.61–10.7418.80–33.78safer14.10–24.132.65–11.7016.75–35.83
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction12.655.1517.80safe9.71–15.592.47–7.8312.18–23.42safer8.88–16.421.73–8.5710.61–24.99
Blocked shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction5.412.007.41safe3.53–7.290.35–3.663.88–10.95safer2.98–7.830.00–4.152.84–11.98
Corners
85%
homeawaytotalprediction7.533.5911.13safe5.32–9.751.59–5.596.91–15.34safer4.75–10.321.06–6.135.81–16.45
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction59.1340.61safe52.34–65.9233.83–47.40safer50.67–67.5932.15–49.07
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction514341855safe447–581274–407721–988safer428–599257–425685–1024
Pass accuracy %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction70.0565.07safe66.02–74.0860.74–69.39safer64.72–75.3759.43–70.70
Fouls
36%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8214.2327.04safe9.98–15.6511.28–17.1721.26–32.83safer9.22–16.4110.53–17.9219.76–34.33
Offsides
46%
23%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.503.34safe0.68–3.000.40–2.591.08–5.59safer0.38–3.300.11–2.880.49–6.18
Yellow cards
21%
19%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.422.453.86safe0.37–2.471.32–3.571.68–6.04safer0.10–2.731.03–3.871.13–6.60
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.120.18safe0.00–0.210.00–0.310.00–0.52safer0.00–0.360.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
78%
homeawaytotalprediction1.974.406.37safe0.54–3.412.84–5.953.38–9.36safer0.15–3.802.42–6.382.57–10.17
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.98 1.01–2.95 0.76–3.20 | 0.77 0.00–1.63 0.00–1.85 | 2.75 0.93–4.57 0.45–5.05 | 66% 21% 14% |
| Shots on target | 6.67 4.80–8.53 4.31–9.02 | 2.51 0.76–4.25 0.30–4.71 | 9.17 5.57–12.78 4.61–13.73 | 89% |
| Total shots | 19.11 15.19–23.04 14.10–24.13 | 7.17 3.61–10.74 2.65–11.70 | 26.29 18.80–33.78 16.75–35.83 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 12.65 9.71–15.59 8.88–16.42 | 5.15 2.47–7.83 1.73–8.57 | 17.80 12.18–23.42 10.61–24.99 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 5.41 3.53–7.29 2.98–7.83 | 2.00 0.35–3.66 0.00–4.15 | 7.41 3.88–10.95 2.84–11.98 | 86% |
| Corners | 7.53 5.32–9.75 4.75–10.32 | 3.59 1.59–5.59 1.06–6.13 | 11.13 6.91–15.34 5.81–16.45 | 85% |
| Possession % | 59.13 52.34–65.92 50.67–67.59 | 40.61 33.83–47.40 32.15–49.07 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 514 447–581 428–599 | 341 274–407 257–425 | 855 721–988 685–1024 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.05 66.02–74.08 64.72–75.37 | 65.07 60.74–69.39 59.43–70.70 | — | 72% 24% |
| Fouls | 12.82 9.98–15.65 9.22–16.41 | 14.23 11.28–17.17 10.53–17.92 | 27.04 21.26–32.83 19.76–34.33 | 36% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.84 0.68–3.00 0.38–3.30 | 1.50 0.40–2.59 0.11–2.88 | 3.34 1.08–5.59 0.49–6.18 | 46% 23% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.42 0.37–2.47 0.10–2.73 | 2.45 1.32–3.57 1.03–3.87 | 3.86 1.68–6.04 1.13–6.60 | 21% 19% 60% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 1.97 0.54–3.41 0.15–3.80 | 4.40 2.84–5.95 2.42–6.38 | 6.37 3.38–9.36 2.57–10.17 | 78% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.