Premiership·Regular Season - 28·
Premiership·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
23%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.770.962.72safe0.80–2.740.10–1.810.90–4.55safer0.55–2.990.00–2.040.42–5.03
Shots on target
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.343.438.76safe3.47–7.201.68–5.175.16–12.37safer2.99–7.691.22–5.634.20–13.32
Total shots
78%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1710.8125.97safe11.24–19.097.25–14.3718.49–33.46safer10.15–20.186.29–15.3316.44–35.51
Shots in box
77%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction10.226.6516.88safe7.28–13.173.97–9.3411.26–22.50safer6.45–14.003.24–10.079.69–24.07
Blocked shots
58%
14%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.433.347.77safe2.55–6.311.69–5.004.24–11.31safer2.01–6.861.20–5.493.20–12.35
Corners
63%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.884.3210.20safe3.67–8.102.31–6.325.99–14.41safer3.10–8.671.78–6.854.88–15.52
Possession %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction55.7344.47safe48.94–62.5237.68–51.25safer47.27–64.1936.01–52.92
Passes
86%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction504374878safe437–571307–440744–1011safer418–589290–458708–1047
Pass accuracy %
67%
29%
homeawayprediction72.7168.87safe68.68–76.7464.55–73.19safer67.39–78.0363.24–74.50
Fouls
33%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8212.4923.31safe7.99–13.669.54–15.4317.53–29.09safer7.23–14.428.79–16.1816.03–30.60
Offsides
44%
24%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.362.98safe0.46–2.780.27–2.450.73–5.24safer0.16–3.090.00–2.740.14–5.83
Yellow cards
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.802.153.95safe0.75–2.851.02–3.281.77–6.12safer0.48–3.110.73–3.571.21–6.68
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.120.20safe0.00–0.240.00–0.310.00–0.55safer0.00–0.390.00–0.440.00–0.83
GK saves
25%
15%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.343.475.81safe0.91–3.781.91–5.032.82–8.80safer0.52–4.171.49–5.452.01–9.62
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.77 0.80–2.74 0.55–2.99 | 0.96 0.10–1.81 0.00–2.04 | 2.72 0.90–4.55 0.42–5.03 | 56% 23% 20% |
| Shots on target | 5.34 3.47–7.20 2.99–7.69 | 3.43 1.68–5.17 1.22–5.63 | 8.76 5.16–12.37 4.20–13.32 | 68% 21% |
| Total shots | 15.17 11.24–19.09 10.15–20.18 | 10.81 7.25–14.37 6.29–15.33 | 25.97 18.49–33.46 16.44–35.51 | 78% 17% |
| Shots in box | 10.22 7.28–13.17 6.45–14.00 | 6.65 3.97–9.34 3.24–10.07 | 16.88 11.26–22.50 9.69–24.07 | 77% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 4.43 2.55–6.31 2.01–6.86 | 3.34 1.69–5.00 1.20–5.49 | 7.77 4.24–11.31 3.20–12.35 | 58% 14% 28% |
| Corners | 5.88 3.67–8.10 3.10–8.67 | 4.32 2.31–6.32 1.78–6.85 | 10.20 5.99–14.41 4.88–15.52 | 63% 26% |
| Possession % | 55.73 48.94–62.52 47.27–64.19 | 44.47 37.68–51.25 36.01–52.92 | — | 73% 23% |
| Passes | 504 437–571 418–589 | 374 307–440 290–458 | 878 744–1011 708–1047 | 86% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.71 68.68–76.74 67.39–78.03 | 68.87 64.55–73.19 63.24–74.50 | — | 67% 29% |
| Fouls | 10.82 7.99–13.66 7.23–14.42 | 12.49 9.54–15.43 8.79–16.18 | 23.31 17.53–29.09 16.03–30.60 | 33% 60% |
| Offsides | 1.62 0.46–2.78 0.16–3.09 | 1.36 0.27–2.45 0.00–2.74 | 2.98 0.73–5.24 0.14–5.83 | 44% 24% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.80 0.75–2.85 0.48–3.11 | 2.15 1.02–3.28 0.73–3.57 | 3.95 1.77–6.12 1.21–6.68 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.34 0.91–3.78 0.52–4.17 | 3.47 1.91–5.03 1.49–5.45 | 5.81 2.82–8.80 2.01–9.62 | 25% 15% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.