Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
26%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.072.55safe0.51–2.450.22–1.930.73–4.38safer0.26–2.700.00–2.160.25–4.86
Shots on target
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.153.478.62safe3.28–7.011.73–5.215.01–12.22safer2.79–7.501.26–5.684.06–13.18
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction17.4410.2927.73safe13.52–21.376.72–13.8520.24–35.21safer12.42–22.465.77–14.8118.19–37.27
Shots in box
78%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction10.186.5616.74safe7.24–13.123.88–9.2411.11–22.36safer6.41–13.953.14–9.989.55–23.93
Blocked shots
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.873.007.87safe2.99–6.751.34–4.654.33–11.40safer2.45–7.300.85–5.143.30–12.44
Corners
66%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.174.3510.51safe3.95–8.382.35–6.356.30–14.73safer3.38–8.951.82–6.885.19–15.83
Possession %
78%
19%
homeawayprediction56.6242.73safe49.83–63.4135.95–49.52safer48.16–65.0834.28–51.19
Passes
86%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction490363852safe423–557296–429719–986safer404–575279–447683–1022
Pass accuracy %
61%
34%
homeawayprediction68.3365.66safe64.30–72.3661.33–69.98safer63.01–73.6560.02–71.29
Fouls
43%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8013.2526.06safe9.97–15.6410.31–16.2020.28–31.84safer9.21–16.409.56–16.9518.77–33.34
Offsides
44%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.593.44safe0.70–3.020.49–2.681.19–5.70safer0.39–3.320.21–2.970.60–6.29
Yellow cards
36%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.822.023.84safe0.77–2.870.89–3.141.66–6.02safer0.51–3.140.60–3.441.10–6.58
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
23%
15%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.393.686.06safe0.95–3.822.12–5.233.07–9.05safer0.56–4.211.70–5.662.26–9.87
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.48 0.51–2.45 0.26–2.70 | 1.07 0.22–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 2.55 0.73–4.38 0.25–4.86 | 47% 26% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.15 3.28–7.01 2.79–7.50 | 3.47 1.73–5.21 1.26–5.68 | 8.62 5.01–12.22 4.06–13.18 | 65% 23% |
| Total shots | 17.44 13.52–21.37 12.42–22.46 | 10.29 6.72–13.85 5.77–14.81 | 27.73 20.24–35.21 18.19–37.27 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 10.18 7.24–13.12 6.41–13.95 | 6.56 3.88–9.24 3.14–9.98 | 16.74 11.11–22.36 9.55–23.93 | 78% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 4.87 2.99–6.75 2.45–7.30 | 3.00 1.34–4.65 0.85–5.14 | 7.87 4.33–11.40 3.30–12.44 | 69% 20% |
| Corners | 6.17 3.95–8.38 3.38–8.95 | 4.35 2.35–6.35 1.82–6.88 | 10.51 6.30–14.73 5.19–15.83 | 66% 24% |
| Possession % | 56.62 49.83–63.41 48.16–65.08 | 42.73 35.95–49.52 34.28–51.19 | — | 78% 19% |
| Passes | 490 423–557 404–575 | 363 296–429 279–447 | 852 719–986 683–1022 | 86% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.33 64.30–72.36 63.01–73.65 | 65.66 61.33–69.98 60.02–71.29 | — | 61% 34% |
| Fouls | 12.80 9.97–15.64 9.21–16.40 | 13.25 10.31–16.20 9.56–16.95 | 26.06 20.28–31.84 18.77–33.34 | 43% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.70–3.02 0.39–3.32 | 1.59 0.49–2.68 0.21–2.97 | 3.44 1.19–5.70 0.60–6.29 | 44% 22% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.82 0.77–2.87 0.51–3.14 | 2.02 0.89–3.14 0.60–3.44 | 3.84 1.66–6.02 1.10–6.58 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.39 0.95–3.82 0.56–4.21 | 3.68 2.12–5.23 1.70–5.66 | 6.06 3.07–9.05 2.26–9.87 | 23% 15% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.