Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
24%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.161.722.88safe0.19–2.130.87–2.581.06–4.70safer0.00–2.380.64–2.810.58–5.18
Shots on target
26%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction3.915.369.27safe2.05–5.773.62–7.105.66–12.87safer1.56–6.263.15–7.574.71–13.83
Total shots
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7115.2127.92safe8.79–16.6311.65–18.7720.43–35.41safer7.69–17.7310.69–19.7318.38–37.46
Shots in box
26%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction7.8310.0417.87safe4.88–10.777.36–12.7212.24–23.49safer4.05–11.606.62–13.4610.68–25.06
Blocked shots
36%
14%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.864.408.26safe1.98–5.742.74–6.054.72–11.79safer1.44–6.292.25–6.543.69–12.83
Corners
30%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.565.6810.24safe2.34–6.773.68–7.686.02–14.45safer1.77–7.343.15–8.214.92–15.56
Possession %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction41.6058.24safe34.81–48.3951.46–65.03safer33.14–50.0649.79–66.70
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction415552967safe348–482486–619834–1101safer330–500468–636798–1137
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction63.5975.96safe59.56–67.6271.64–80.28safer58.27–68.9170.33–81.59
Fouls
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3512.1423.48safe8.51–14.189.19–15.0817.70–29.27safer7.75–14.948.45–15.8316.20–30.77
Offsides
28%
20%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.662.263.93safe0.50–2.821.17–3.361.67–6.18safer0.20–3.120.88–3.641.08–6.77
Yellow cards
41%
22%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.683.48safe0.75–2.850.55–2.811.30–5.66safer0.49–3.120.26–3.100.74–6.22
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.090.20safe0.00–0.270.00–0.270.00–0.54safer0.00–0.420.00–0.410.00–0.83
GK saves
51%
16%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.212.625.82safe1.77–4.641.06–4.172.83–8.82safer1.38–5.030.64–4.602.02–9.63
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.16 0.19–2.13 0.00–2.38 | 1.72 0.87–2.58 0.64–2.81 | 2.88 1.06–4.70 0.58–5.18 | 26% 24% 51% |
| Shots on target | 3.91 2.05–5.77 1.56–6.26 | 5.36 3.62–7.10 3.15–7.57 | 9.27 5.66–12.87 4.71–13.83 | 26% 62% |
| Total shots | 12.71 8.79–16.63 7.69–17.73 | 15.21 11.65–18.77 10.69–19.73 | 27.92 20.43–35.41 18.38–37.46 | 28% 65% |
| Shots in box | 7.83 4.88–10.77 4.05–11.60 | 10.04 7.36–12.72 6.62–13.46 | 17.87 12.24–23.49 10.68–25.06 | 26% 66% |
| Blocked shots | 3.86 1.98–5.74 1.44–6.29 | 4.40 2.74–6.05 2.25–6.54 | 8.26 4.72–11.79 3.69–12.83 | 36% 14% 50% |
| Corners | 4.56 2.34–6.77 1.77–7.34 | 5.68 3.68–7.68 3.15–8.21 | 10.24 6.02–14.45 4.92–15.56 | 30% 58% |
| Possession % | 41.60 34.81–48.39 33.14–50.06 | 58.24 51.46–65.03 49.79–66.70 | — | 15% 82% |
| Passes | 415 348–482 330–500 | 552 486–619 468–636 | 967 834–1101 798–1137 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.59 59.56–67.62 58.27–68.91 | 75.96 71.64–80.28 70.33–81.59 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 11.35 8.51–14.18 7.75–14.94 | 12.14 9.19–15.08 8.45–15.83 | 23.48 17.70–29.27 16.20–30.77 | 39% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 2.26 1.17–3.36 0.88–3.64 | 3.93 1.67–6.18 1.08–6.77 | 28% 20% 51% |
| Yellow cards | 1.80 0.75–2.85 0.49–3.12 | 1.68 0.55–2.81 0.26–3.10 | 3.48 1.30–5.66 0.74–6.22 | 41% 22% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.21 1.77–4.64 1.38–5.03 | 2.62 1.06–4.17 0.64–4.60 | 5.82 2.83–8.82 2.02–9.63 | 51% 16% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.