Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
24%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.192.83safe0.68–2.610.33–2.041.01–4.65safer0.43–2.870.10–2.270.53–5.13
Shots on target
50%
13%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.934.459.38safe3.07–6.792.71–6.195.78–12.99safer2.58–7.282.24–6.664.82–13.94
Total shots
63%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9012.6627.55safe10.97–18.829.10–16.2220.07–35.04safer9.88–19.918.14–17.1818.02–37.09
Shots in box
63%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction9.968.0418.00safe7.02–12.905.36–10.7212.38–23.63safer6.19–13.734.62–11.4610.81–25.19
Blocked shots
43%
14%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.013.977.98safe2.12–5.892.32–5.634.44–11.51safer1.58–6.431.83–6.123.41–12.55
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.004.2610.26safe3.79–8.222.26–6.266.05–14.48safer3.22–8.791.73–6.794.94–15.58
Possession %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction56.3044.51safe49.51–63.0937.72–51.29safer47.84–64.7636.05–52.96
Passes
87%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction547413961safe480–614347–480827–1094safer462–632329–497791–1130
Pass accuracy %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction72.3069.83safe68.27–76.3365.51–74.16safer66.98–77.6264.20–75.47
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1212.2025.32safe10.28–15.969.25–15.1419.54–31.10safer9.53–16.718.50–15.8918.03–32.60
Offsides
52%
22%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.373.35safe0.82–3.140.27–2.461.10–5.60safer0.52–3.450.00–2.750.51–6.19
Yellow cards
40%
21%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.021.984.00safe0.97–3.070.85–3.111.83–6.18safer0.71–3.340.56–3.401.27–6.74
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
36%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.933.296.21safe1.49–4.361.73–4.843.22–9.21safer1.10–4.751.31–5.272.41–10.02
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.65 0.68–2.61 0.43–2.87 | 1.19 0.33–2.04 0.10–2.27 | 2.83 1.01–4.65 0.53–5.13 | 48% 24% 28% |
| Shots on target | 4.93 3.07–6.79 2.58–7.28 | 4.45 2.71–6.19 2.24–6.66 | 9.38 5.78–12.99 4.82–13.94 | 50% 13% 37% |
| Total shots | 14.90 10.97–18.82 9.88–19.91 | 12.66 9.10–16.22 8.14–17.18 | 27.55 20.07–35.04 18.02–37.09 | 63% 30% |
| Shots in box | 9.96 7.02–12.90 6.19–13.73 | 8.04 5.36–10.72 4.62–11.46 | 18.00 12.38–23.63 10.81–25.19 | 63% 28% |
| Blocked shots | 4.01 2.12–5.89 1.58–6.43 | 3.97 2.32–5.63 1.83–6.12 | 7.98 4.44–11.51 3.41–12.55 | 43% 14% 42% |
| Corners | 6.00 3.79–8.22 3.22–8.79 | 4.26 2.26–6.26 1.73–6.79 | 10.26 6.05–14.48 4.94–15.58 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 56.30 49.51–63.09 47.84–64.76 | 44.51 37.72–51.29 36.05–52.96 | — | 74% 22% |
| Passes | 547 480–614 462–632 | 413 347–480 329–497 | 961 827–1094 791–1130 | 87% 13% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.30 68.27–76.33 66.98–77.62 | 69.83 65.51–74.16 64.20–75.47 | — | 60% 35% |
| Fouls | 13.12 10.28–15.96 9.53–16.71 | 12.20 9.25–15.14 8.50–15.89 | 25.32 19.54–31.10 18.03–32.60 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.98 0.82–3.14 0.52–3.45 | 1.37 0.27–2.46 0.00–2.75 | 3.35 1.10–5.60 0.51–6.19 | 52% 22% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 2.02 0.97–3.07 0.71–3.34 | 1.98 0.85–3.11 0.56–3.40 | 4.00 1.83–6.18 1.27–6.74 | 40% 21% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.93 1.49–4.36 1.10–4.75 | 3.29 1.73–4.84 1.31–5.27 | 6.21 3.22–9.21 2.41–10.02 | 36% 16% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.